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How much does Germany affect the virus? What are other countries doing to combat Sars-CoV-2? The most important data and facts about the corona virus.
In the Federal Republic, more than 160,000 people have tested positive for the coronavirus. This comes from figures from the American Johns Hopkins University. More than 6,800 of those infected in Germany have died. The number of people currently infected has also decreased for more than two weeks. The first positive test dates back to January 26. Active cases mean people who are currently infected with the virus.
These charts show confirmed coronavirus infections. Their number always lags behind reality. It can be assumed that the number of people who are effectively infected is significantly higher. Many countries only evaluate risky patients and those with strong symptoms. In addition, up to five days pass between infection and the appearance of the first symptoms. The Sars CoV-2 test and its evaluation also take time.
In an international comparison, it is clear that the expansion curve is now somewhat flatter than it was a week ago. Development in Germany for a long time followed exactly the same as in Italy, now the curve is a bit flatter.
Daily growth in the number of cases in Germany is currently below 1 percent.
Growth in South Korea and Switzerland has fallen even faster. Big events were canceled early in Switzerland, and a lot of things were tried in South Korea to be able to understand the distribution accurately. South Korea has slowed the spread by closely monitoring contacts and isolating those infected, as well as national testing.
You can read our analysis of the measures in six severely affected regions, such as New York in the United States, Hubei in China, and Lombardy in Italy, here.
However, it is difficult to assess how common the virus is based in confirmed cases. Each country has a different testing regimen. The number of people who died from Covid-19 is therefore more significant for a country comparison. The situation in Germany looks much better here, especially compared to Belgium, Spain or Italy. In Germany there are only 8.2 per 100,000 inhabitants who have died from Covid-19 lung disease.
The death toll is also generally the most accurate when it comes to showing the progress of the epidemic. In contrast to the confirmed number of cases, where there are large uncertainties, such as different counting methods and high or low test intensity, the number of deaths is generally reliable. Each country can count the dead.
According to figures from the Federal Statistical Office, hardly more people die in Germany than in previous years.
Given that the 2020 flu wave has ended since mid-March and the number of deaths should actually decrease as in previous years, it is obvious that the comparatively high current values are related to the crown pandemic.
To date there have been around 245,000 deaths worldwide. The United States, Italy, Spain, France and the United Kingdom have the absolute majority of Covid 19 deceased. The following graph shows how the daily number of deceased develops. We calculate the average of the last seven days for each day; This is called the “moving average”.
The graph shows that the number of deaths is now decreasing in many countries. After a slight increase in mid-April, it is now falling in Germany as well.
If you look at the 30 countries with the most deaths in the crown, two-thirds have passed their first peak. Some countries still have more and more deaths. These include, for example, Brazil, Canada, or Ecuador.
Many European countries have introduced restrictive measures in recent weeks. The following map shows the Summary of the situation in Europe:
Red-colored countries have imposed a national curfew.
Spain currently has the highest number of infected people in the world after the United States, followed by Italy, France and Germany.
The countries with the highest number of cases in Europe also have a high proportion of deceased patients. In Germany, for a comparable number of confirmed cases, there are currently more than 6,800 deaths.
In the United States, the number of confirmed infections continues to rise sharply, the total number is higher than anywhere else. Since March 26, more cases have been counted in the United States than in China and Italy, and the number currently exceeds one million.
This development is particularly concerning because the spread of the virus in the United States can only slow down slowly. Growth is slower than in other countries.
The development in the number of deaths in the United States also gives little hope: growth continues to be stronger than in France, Italy or Spain.
The largest focus of virus in the United States is in New York. In New York State, about 313,000 people have already tested positive for the coronavirus (status: May 4). A large number of the cases come from New York City. Several thousand cases are also being reported in other large cities today.
How the virus spreads in the United States
Washington state is also severely affected. According to The Guardian, the large number of people infected there may also be due to the fact that many tests were done from the beginning, because the first case in the United States was known in Washington state.
Since the end of March, there have been more cases outside of China than in the country of origin of the pandemic. Furthermore, a large number of patients have recovered in all provinces. Individual provinces like Hunan and Anhui have managed to survive that almost all who suffer. Of around 1,000 patients each, only four died in Hunan and six in Anhui.
Most of the cases in China have occurred in Hubei province, from where the pandemic started. After the disease broke out, the Chinese government initially sealed off his hometown in Wuhan, and large parts of Hubei province soon followed. Wuhan quickly established temporary hospitals. At the same time, the production of masks and other necessary products increased because the outbreak occurred around the Chinese New Year. Outside of Hubei, the authorities also restricted the population’s freedom of movement.
On March 14, the Hubei authorities relaxed the measures outside Wuhan. Only the city of origin is still considered a high risk area. Other provinces have also eased their quarantine in recent days. Around 63,600 patients have currently recovered and around 4,500 people have died in Hubei, and no further infected people have been reported. However, authorities abruptly corrected the number of deaths on April 17; This approach raises questions.
China now faces two challenges: First, the country has to start the economy all over again without triggering a new outbreak. On the other hand, there is now a danger that travelers from abroad will bring the disease again.
The corona virus is spreading globally. The pandemic has affected more than 189 countries. Of the nearly 3.5 million people whose infection with the virus has been confirmed, about one million are already cured, accounting for about 32 percent (as of May 4). The number of people who are currently ill has increased considerably since the beginning of March.
Development can be divided into different phases: first, the virus appeared in the Chinese province of Hubei, then spread throughout the country and in other countries in the region. However, the number of confirmed cases in China has stabilized in the past month, and most patients have recovered. The virus has now reached Europe and other continents and is spreading more and more.
Whether or not a country copes with the coronavirus also depends on the level of preparedness for a pandemic. A large-scale study examining 195 countries in detail concludes that richer countries tend to respond better to an outbreak.
But even the United States, the country best prepared for a pandemic, only has 83.5 points and could therefore improve. Germany reached 14th place with two thirds of the possible points, and many countries in Africa and the Middle East are particularly poorly prepared. Venezuela, where there has been a bad economic and supply crisis since 2013, is in a bad position.
North Korea is also in an unfortunate situation. If the virus comes from one of the two heavily affected neighboring countries, China and South Korea, the population is at risk of disaster. Many North Koreans are malnourished and therefore weakened, while the country’s health system is on the ground.
In international comparison, Germany is in a very good position regarding the number of intensive care beds. There are 34 beds per 100,000 people, compared to just eight beds in Italy.
A story by Nikolai Thelitz, Alexandra Kohler, Barnaby Skinner, Jonas Oesch, Balz Rittmeyer, Joana Kelén, Julia Monn, Christian Kleeb, Dominik Batz, and Kaspar Manz.
The dangers of the corona virus.
For more information on the dangers associated with the corona virus and current measures in Germany, visit the Robert Koch Institute information website. You can get it in English on the website of the World Health Organization (WHO). The NZZ has compiled all articles on the corona virus here. Everything about symptoms and tips for everyday life can be found here.
The most important phone numbers
General initial information: 115
Emergency medical service: 116117
Citizen Service of the Ministry of Health: 030 346 465 100 Citizen Service of the Federal Ministry of Foreign Affairs: 030 181 730 00
Methodological note
This article is updated with figures from Johns Hopkins University (JHU). JHU researchers collect the numbers from various sources and confirm them from official agencies (explained in detail here). All numbers refer only to confirmed Corona cases in the respective countries. It can be assumed that the amount of effective crown infected is greater everywhere. Scientists rely on government agencies to provide accurate information, which is not always guaranteed. Furthermore, different procedures at the national or regional level and a variable frequency of tests can have an impact on the comparability of the number of cases. JHU figures show small gaps in some cases, individual values for mid-March are affected, where figures from the previous day are reported for some countries. Read more about how NZZ uses corona virus data here.