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It is a tsunami that is sweeping through political Switzerland. The green wave has not stopped since the 2019 national elections. It has not only changed the majority in Bern. In the cantonal elections in Schaffhausen at the end of September, the weather once again tipped the balance and gave the Greens three seats. The latest vote on Sunday also showed that left-green, urban Switzerland is currently setting the tone.
In particular, the SVP, which is by far the strongest party in the Aargau bourgeoisie, has cause for concern. He currently holds 45 of the 140 seats on the Grand Council. But just before Sunday’s elections, the Popular Party is weakening. The reason for this is not only the national trend, but also internal disputes.
Trouble in your own ranks
The president of the SVP of Aargau, National Councilor Andreas Glarner (58), is also responsible for this. With harsh verbal attacks, he repeatedly causes trouble in his own ranks.
Glarner’s recent attacks on National Green Council colleague Sibel Arslan (40), whom he called “Arschlan” and whom he implicitly agreed to be a true Swiss woman, are not well received by a large section of supporters SVP.
Regarding the elections, Glarner has so far not worried. He assumed that the SVP could defend all its parliamentary seats. Other SVP members are also counting on the fact that the green wave will not hit the SVP in Aargau as hard as it does elsewhere.
Political scientist Claude Longchamp (63) recently expressed a different point of view to VIEW: “Christoph Blocher’s diagnosis after the federal elections was correct: the SVP is a case of restructuring, especially at the cantonal level.” Only Blocher is not currently the renovator either.
Greens could benefit and GLP
The fact that the dean senior vice president recently demanded the return of his federal pension has caused the barrel to overflow. Disagreements and questions of orientation paralyzed the party; Green parties in particular could benefit from this, Longchamp estimates.
Because Aargau is also changing. Newcomers from the city shake the SVP fortress. With consequences: in the 2019 National Council elections, the SVP collapsed by 6.5 percentage points, in favor of the Greens. They expect renewed earnings. They are currently represented with 10 seats on the Grand Council.
Green Liberals with their current 7 seats could also benefit from the trend. The party scores between the blocs and was able to take the momentum of the federal elections with it, according to Longchamp: “This had a positive effect on the number of seats in most cantonal elections.”
The SP, the second largest parliamentary group with 27 seats, is trending upward, as it was four years ago in the Grand Council elections. The trend is different for the FDP (22 seats) and the CVP (17 seats). In 2016, the FDP grew slightly, but lost percentage points in the election of the National Council. It was the exact opposite of CVP. The bourgeoisie hopes to win seats because the BDP (4 seats) will no longer work.
