US elections: the consequences of Biden’s victory over Trump for those in power



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It is probably Jair Bolsonaro’s reaction when Joe Biden was proclaimed the winner of the US elections. Image: keystone

These leaders are not happy with Trump’s removal from office, and they are

Joe Biden as the new president of the United States means changes in relations with the United States and in world politics for many nations. Here are the winners and losers under President Biden.

The American president is the most powerful person in the world. His word weighs heavily on global politics. Most countries want the US to do well.

Populists around the world benefited from Donald Trump, while liberal heads of state have and have had a difficult position or at least a difficult relationship with the president of the United States. The London-based Financial Times has compiled the consequences for the world’s top leaders, and we’ve also added Switzerland to the list.

What does Biden’s election mean to Xi Jinping? Image: AP Getty Images AsiaPac POOL

Switzerland

Bottom line: not much will change for Switzerland. And when he does, Joe Biden has quite positive effects. Behind the scenes, contacts are already being made with the surroundings of Biden, so that when the time comes, have good access to the new government as quickly as possible.

The ambassador deployed in Bern will also be decisive its. Edward McMullen, with his close relationship with Trump, was “a great stroke of luck for Switzerland,” as FDP national adviser Christa Markwalder told CH Media.

Overall, Switzerland is likely to have an export-oriented economy. Benefit from the stabilization of the international trading systemnorth, as well as through the supposed strengthening of the World Trade Organization (WTO). However, the conclusion of what Switzerland aspires to is likely to be completed. Free trade agreement I hardly have a priority with the US.

Here are the details:

Additionally, Biden will strive for a change in Iran’s policy, including that Nuclear deal revive with Iran, which Switzerland would appreciate.

That could be a goal Pharmaceutical industry come by far the most important export industry with the US America wants to crack down on high drug prices. But during the corona pandemic, hardly anyone will bother with the pharmaceutical industry, as it has to fund their research.

Winners

Hassan Rouhani, Iran 🇮🇷

Hassan Rouhani. Image: keystone

Trump withdrew from the nuclear deal and established new sanctions against Iran. It’s no wonder Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani is waiting for Joe Biden. Shortly after the victory, he said: “Now the United States has a chance to return to its obligations.”

Explosive: Rouhani will be in office until the summer. Therefore, the opposition could try to delay the agreements and later win praise for what has been achieved.

Angela Merkel, Germany 🇩🇪

Germany is probably one of the countries that should benefit the most from Joe Biden. Under Donald Trump, the relationship noticeably cooled, as he repeatedly attacked the country for various reasons.

On the day of Biden’s victory, German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas wrote that concrete proposals would be made on China, climate change and the corona pandemic. Angela Merkel recalled “good meetings and conversations” with Joe Biden when he was vice president of Barack Obama.

So it is with the corona virus around the world:

Justin Trudeau, Canada 🇨🇦

Justin Trudeau argued with the Donald Trump government about imports (of aluminum) to the United States, among other things. This shouldn’t continue with Biden.

Trudeau is also much more in the Biden line in other areas such as climate change and nature conservation. The Liberal Party of Canada has addressed protecting the environment as one of its key issues.

Emmanuel Macron, France 🇫🇷

Emmanuel Macron tried very hard to maintain a good relationship with Trump. He almost got Trump and Rouhani of Iran to negotiate.

However, Macron also had to accept Trump’s unpredictability. That should be easier with Biden. As is well known, he also wants to rejoin the Paris climate agreement.

Nicolas Maduro, Venezuela 🇻🇪

The Trump administration tried again and again to remove Nicolás Maduro from office. Now the left Maduro hopes that Biden will lift some sanctions. No wonder he was quick to congratulate the Democrat on the victory.

Maduro explains that one is always ready to dialogue.

Indeed, it is quite possible that Biden Venezuela will make some concessions to alleviate the humanitarian suffering that (also) resulted from the sanctions.

Alberto Fernández, Argentina 🇦🇷

Argentina could become the biggest winner of the US power shift in Latin America, as Biden needs a reliable partner for his stability goals in the region.

Trump and Fernández had previously fought for various reasons. Then there might be some relaxation. However, it remains to be seen how the United States will handle Argentina’s relationship with China.

The losers

Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel 🇮🇱

Benjamin Netanyahu was close to Trump and Jared Kushner. The United States also supported Israel by recognizing Jerusalem as its capital. However, Netanyahu knows Biden well. However, Israel will face a colder wind.

Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦

The Crown Prince was able to cement his power in the region. But there were also setbacks such as the war in Yemen or the US sanctions against Qatar.

Saudi Arabia also welcomed the exit from the US nuclear deal with Iran. That could go the other way now. In the case of Jamal Khashoggi, Biden took a different position than Trump.

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Video: watson / jah

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Türkei 🇹🇷

Trump and Erdogan were a good team. The United States did some favors for Erdogan. Erdogan, on the other hand, has already referred to Biden as an autocrat. However, Biden must try to keep Turkey a member of NATO and a major border with Syria, Iraq and Iran. But he will hardly make Erdogan personally Trump-style.

Viktor Orban, Ungarn 🇭🇺

Viktor Orban was one of the first to congratulate in 2016. He says Hungarian-American relations have never been so good under Trump.

Orban did not get along with Barack Obama. In October, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto attacked Biden when he described Poland and Hungary as part of an emerging totalitarian regime.

Boris Johnson, Great Britain 🇬🇧

Boris Johnson is not really in the vein of Joe Biden. Biden sees Brexit as a historic mistake. It will not rush to sign a free trade agreement with the UK.

Even if the two nations were often close, there will hardly be a good relationship between Biden and Johnson.

Jair Bolsonaro, Brasilien 🇧🇷

Hardly anyone is as close to Trump politically and ideologically as Jair Bolsonaro, be it on climate change, relations with China or Venezuela or other issues.

Bolsonaro already changed his rhetoric when it became clear that Biden would win. It seems clear: Bolsonaros Brazil will have to adjust its course again to avoid isolation.

The current state of the US elections:

Vladimir Putin, Russia 🇷🇺

Vladimir Putin has yet to congratulate Joe Biden. While Trump liked to praise Putin as a great leader, Biden is more likely to do the opposite.

Sanctions, increased NATO support or aid to Ukraine in a dispute with Russia are more likely.

Kim Jong Un, North Korea 🇰🇵

Trump met with Kim three times, increasing his legitimacy. Relations with North Korea are likely to freeze.

However, it is also possible that this will resume North Korea’s military provocations if more sanctions are imposed.

Narendra Modi, Yes 🇮🇳

Relations between India and the United States have been good recently. Trump supported India on the border with China and helped with military equipment. Trump, on the other hand, turned a blind eye to the oppression of Muslims in India.

Biden is likely to insist more on human rights and religious freedom in foreign policy, which Modi naturally does not like. However, India also has a trump card in hand: America needs India in the fight against China.

Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Mexiko 🇲🇽

Obrador and Trump were on the same line under Trump’s immigration policy. Biden wants to undo a lot of that. Because Mexico is economically dependent on the United States, Obrador may lose a lot here.

Mexico has yet to congratulate Biden on the victory, which Texan Democrat Joaquín Castro described as an “incredible diplomatic error.” Mexico is likely to experience many more headwinds in the areas of labor, environment, human rights, and corruption.

Still unclear

Xi Jinping, China 🇨🇳

Finally, the two major nations, the effects of which cannot yet be clearly assessed. China should be safe from sudden import tariffs or sanctions against Chinese companies.

But in the long run, China could have benefited from withdrawing from a leadership position on global issues like climate change. Trump also alienated Europe from the United States, playing the game for the Chinese.

After days of silence, China congratulated the newly elected president on Friday: “We respect the choice of the American people and congratulate Mr. Biden and Ms. Harris,” said Wang Wenbin, spokesman for the Chinese State Department.

Yoshihide Suga, Japan 🇯🇵

In Japan, new Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga can certainly do less with Trump than his predecessor Shinzo Abe. Therefore, he is a winner in the American elections.

However, Biden’s behavior on key Japan issues, such as the relationship with China or the return to the Trans-Pacific Partnership, is still unclear. Economically, many companies in Japan are tied to the welfare of the United States. It’s no wonder that the Japanese stock market soared after the election victory.

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