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Biden is ahead. Can you ensure leadership? That could show up tonight. Image: keystone
Analysis
How the election could be decided tonight
Joe Biden could win tonight at Michigan and Wisconsin. Catching up with this advantage should be very difficult for Donald Trump.
First of all: It can take several days or even weeks.until all votes for the US presidential election are counted and the winner is determined. Due to the crown pandemic, more Americans than usual voted by mail. In Pennsylvania, for example, card votes are not expected to be fully counted until Friday. Because the winner receives 20 electoral votes, Pennsylvania is a particularly important state.
>>> US Elections: all current developments on the live ticker
However, the race could you can also decide today. The result is still open in these states:
- Georgia (94 percent of votes counted)
with 16 voters - Michigan (96 percent of votes counted)
with 16 voters - Nevada (67 percent of votes counted)
with 6 voters - North Carolina (94 percent of votes counted)
with 15 voters - Wisconsin (95 percent of votes counted)
with 10 voters - Pennsylvania (64 percent of votes counted)
with 20 voters
Donald Trump currently lacks 57 votes for a victory. His challenger Joe Biden is slightly ahead with 32 votes left.
That is the intermediate result
No results are expected for Nevada and Pennsylvania today. In Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin, however, there could be a showdown tonight. And this is what it currently looks like for the two candidates in these states:
- Georgia
Trump: 50.5 percent 👈
Biden: 48.3 percent - Michigan
Trump: 48.9 percent
Biden: 49.6 percent 👈 - North Carolina
Trump: 50.1 percent 👈
Biden: 48.7 percent - Wisconsin
Trump: 48.9 percent
Biden: 49.6 percent 👈
This is how Biden wins
It’s clear at night that Biden can maintain its leadership in Michigan and Wisconsin, are 264 electoral votes. Catching up will be very difficult for Trump. Even if North Carolina won, it would only have 228 electoral votes.
“Financial Times” View: This is what it would look like if Biden insured Wisconsin and Michigan and Trump insured Georgia and North Carolina. screenshot: financial times
In this case it would be for Biden Georgia and Nevada tip the scales. If he can regain Trump’s leadership in Georgia, the case is clear: then Biden will be the next president of the United States.
If Biden wins alongside Wisconsin, Michigan and Georgia tonight, he will be the winner. screenshot: financial times
If Georgia goes to Trump, on the other hand, it would have 224 votes, even that is still not easy to get the required 270 votes. Biden then has to wait for Nevada. He is currently slightly ahead of Trump there, with 7,600 votes.
This is how Trump wins
Even if Trump in North Carolina and Georgia win, it will be difficult for him. If he can extend his lead over Biden in Nevada, he would still be in first place. 250 electoral votes.
Visualization of the “Financial Times”: This is what it would be like if Trump won in Georgia, North Carolina and Nevada and Biden in Wisconsin and Michigan. screenshot: financial times
In that case, you would have to vote at 20 Pennsylvania I hope it is not counted until the end of this week. In 2016 he won just ahead of Hilary Clinton in the state, and in 2012 the disputed place went to Barack Obama.
