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WASHINGTON – Under the United States political system, a presidential election is not won by the candidate who gets the most votes from Americans overall, but by the candidate who gets at least 270 of the 538 electoral votes allocated to the 50 states and Washington. , DC. .
The contest will be decided by a handful of battlefield states that could change in any way. Here’s a look at the states that matter and how they’re doing.
Florida – Trump wins
Number of electoral votes: 29
Donald Trump defeated Joe Biden in Florida, the Associated Press projected, securing a key status in his reelection bid. He had previously had a small advantage in the state after outperforming one of its most populous counties, Miami-Dade.
Florida is a highly diverse and competitive state that propelled Trump to victory in 2016 and decided the election of George W. Bush in 2000.
If Trump had lost Florida, he would have had a less than 1% chance of bouncing back to win the general election, according to a forecast from voting site FiveThirtyEight.
Pennsylvania
Number of electoral votes: 20
Average of RealClearPolitics polls as of Nov 4: Biden +1.2
In Pennsylvania, the vote is expected to take a few days to tabulate.
Officials from the state of Pennsylvania and the city of Philadelphia did not offer a firm estimate Tuesday night of how long it will take to complete the absentee and mail ballots needed to determine the presidential winner in the field state. battle.
Michigan – Biden wins
Michigan, with 16 electoral votes, was won by Biden, the Associated Press projected on Wednesday (Nov. 4).
The Midwest state unexpectedly got closer to Trump by less than half a percentage point in 2016 in one of the surprising state defeats suffered by Hillary Clinton.
With Michigan’s 16 electoral votes, Biden now has a total of 264 votes in the electoral college, six less than the magic number of 270 needed to win the United States presidency, according to US network projections.
Wisconsin – Biden wins
Biden won Wisconsin’s vital battlefield, trading a state won by Trump in 2016.
However, the Trump campaign said it would require a recount in Wisconsin, where the candidates were separated by less than 1 percentage point.
Georgia: Trump is a little ahead
Number of electoral votes: 16
Average RealClearPolitics Polls as of Nov 4: Trump +1
The fact that Georgia, a long-time red state that Trump won by a decent 5.1 percentage point margin, is now an upside-down state is a sign of both how much Trump has slipped and how blue he has. returned the state.
Biden probably doesn’t need Georgia to win, but it would be a surprise if he did, a possible harbinger of a good night for him.
Iowa – Trump wins
Number of electoral votes: 6
Trump won Iowa, the AP reported.
Iowa sharply returned to the red in 2016, backing Trump by a comfortable margin, but is now in a state of imbalance. Iowa is also not a must-win for Biden, but if Trump had lost the state, it would have been a sign that the Republican Party is weakening in the Midwest.
North Carolina: Trump is moving slowly
Number of electoral votes: 15
Average of RealClearPolitics polls as of Nov 4: Trump +0.2
Trump was slowly making headway after a previous lead by Biden in North Carolina, although there are many votes pending in the state.
North Carolina has voted Republican less than twice since the 1970s. North Carolina, along with Florida, Georgia and Ohio, are states where Trump almost needs to win reelection.
If Biden wins North Carolina, that could indicate that he will continue to win other states that Trump needs as well.
Ohio – Trump wins
Number of electoral votes: 18
Trump has defeated Biden in Ohio, the AP reported.
No Republican candidate has ever won the White House without winning Ohio, the state with the history of voting for every winner since 1944 with only one exception. If Trump had lost Ohio, things would have likely gone badly for him in the Midwest.
Texas – Trump wins
Number of electoral votes: 38
Texas, with its 38 electoral votes, is a great prize for Trump.
It is traditionally a firmly Republican state, but Biden made great strides in the campaign and it was thought that the state might turn blue for the first time since 1976.
Arizona – Biden wins
Number of electoral votes: 11
Biden became the first Democratic presidential candidate to win Arizona since 1996.
He benefited from a more diverse electorate in Arizona, which Trump won by 3.5 percentage points in 2016. Bill Clinton was the last Democrat to win Arizona, claiming him for re-election.
Arizona has long voted Republican, but has shown signs of turning a bit blue in recent years, as the proportion of Latino voters in the state has risen.
In 2018, a Democrat, Krysten Sinema, won a Senate seat for the first time in the state since 1988.
For live results and updates, follow our live coverage of the US elections.
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