United States, endless elections. However, how will this story end and especially in favor of whom: Trump or Biden?



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It has been almost a week since Joe Biden made his first speech as president-elect of the United States and three days since Biden himself initiated the transfer of power, but Donald Trump refuses to admit defeat and shows no signs of doing so too soon. , according to a BBC analysis on how each field is playing its chances right now. At the same time, NBC reports that Trump, even if he could accept the election result, will never admit defeat.

The 2020 US presidential election has thus become a long wait: the whole world is simply waiting to see what will happen next, given that although such a scenario has been taken into account by political analysts, Americans are now entering into “a territory not yet mapped”, in a political situation unprecedented in the modern history of the United States.

For the moment, the math is drawing Joe Biden’s attention: he has an advantage of several tens of thousands of votes in key states, such as Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, or even around 150,000 differences, as is the case in Michigan. The more time passes and new votes are counted, given that 98-99% have already been counted, the more difficult it is for Trump to recover this difference.

Vote Counting in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 2020 US Presidential Election
Vote counting in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Photo: Getty Images

How do Republican leaders respond to the question “Should Trump give in?”

Nerd. Not yet.

“The president has every right to consider allegations of fraud and demand a recount of votes, in accordance with the law,” said Senator Mitch McConnell, leader of the Republican group in the United States Senate.

Why do Republicans give such answers?

In these four years, Republican politicians have adopted, according to the BBC, the strategy of “fine-tuning” speeches and statements when reacting to the controversial measures or decisions of President Trump.

They bit their tongues, as they say, and waited for the storm to pass.

The explanation is simple: no Republican leader wants to attract all the institutional ire of the president of the United States, who can unleash the plague with a single snap of his fingers on Twitter.

Republicans must also think about their political future, after January 20, 2021 (when the new president is officially sworn in), when they will have to collaborate with a possible democratic administration.

Unlike Trump, Republicans don’t like scorched earth tactics. Because his political time is measured in years, not weeks.

The possible political game of the Attorney General of the United States

Earlier this week, US Attorney General Bill Barr gave the green light to open investigations into possible wrongdoing during the November 3 presidential election.

Barr’s gesture tells Trump that “authorities are investigating the matter.” At the same time, Barr noted that the clearance granted to federal prosecutors across the country does not indicate that the Justice Department has evidence of genuine fraud.

The bad news, for those on Biden’s side, is that the attorney general’s simple action in such a political crisis will give Trump and his supporters fixed ammunition in support of allegations that they were stolen in this election.

And yet will Donald Trump finally give up?

The answer to this question is very simple: just read Trump’s Twitter posts from the last few days.

A cynical explanation for Trump’s attitude would be related to his obsession with not being considered and categorized as a “loser.” A loser. Pierz. Loser. A fool”.

Sources in Trump’s entourage told NBC that most likely the only “concession” to be taken from Donald Trump, after and if he loses the battle in court, would be one like “I will accept the election result, but never we will know exactly who he really was. “

Or, as another close adviser to the White House leader put it:

“We cannot trust the results, but I will not contest them”

Trump’s long-term strategy would imply, in this scenario, positioning himself as “the most successful Republican candidate”, who has behind him the strength of 89 million followers on Twitter and 71 million votes.

In this way, Donald Trump could create a new image of the leader of the Republican opposition and the possibility of a rematch in 2024, when he could run again in the presidential elections.

What Joe Biden says. And what is your strategy as president blocked by Trump?

Joe Biden was also not turned away for the question of the month: “Should Trump give in?” And his answer could only have been a very obvious “Yes”.

“I think it’s an embarrassing situation, honestly,” Biden said. “How can I say this without being tactful?” I think (this attitude) is not going to help the legacy left by the president, ”added the Democratic candidate and president-elect of the United States.

However, Biden’s context is completely different and new, compared to the rest of the “mathematical” winners of the presidential election in recent US history.

People in the bar watch TV on the latest news on the outcome of the US presidential election.
Photo: Getty Images

Since the media “projected” him as the winner of the election, Biden’s team has tried to deliver calm messages, in total contradiction to those of the Trump camp, and maintain the appearance of a presidential team in a smooth transition process. and methodical. .

Biden has also created an operational group to manage the COVID-19 pandemic, with which he has already had his first meeting these days.

But Biden does not have the federal funds that the president-elect in the United States can access because the Trump administration simply does not recognize Biden as president-elect. In these circumstances, the US federal agency responsible for initiating these procedures (and which is led by a Republican named Trump) has so far not delivered these government funds for the Democratic field.

Biden’s strategy now is to wait. And hope that, once the votes are counted, they will finally give him the advantage, despite the resources filed by the Trump team.

From this point of view, US policy has a very strict deadline: votes and appeals must be clarified until December 14, when the 538 voters will meet in Washington to cast their votes, clearly and definitively, to a single candidate: Trump or Biden. . In January, the United States Congress will approve this vote, and on January 20, the president will be sworn in.

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