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The parliamentarians debate and vote on Monday, starting at 2:00 p.m., the motion of censure presented by PSD. The latest calculations before the vote show that the parties supporting the motion – PSD, Pro Romania, ALDE and PPUSL – are pressuring a majority to remove the government, but any absence could lead to the failure of the opposition. Most likely, the fate of the motion is in the hands of national minority MPs. From there, PSD hopes to get some vital votes to topple Ludovic Orban. Meanwhile, PSD, instead of winning votes, loses MPs.
Arad’s PSD deputy, Adrian Todor, was quarantined for 14 days, being contacted by a person confirmed with coronavirus, which is why he will be absent from the vote on the motion, party sources say for Digi24.ro. However, it is the only case, at least until this time, that the PSD leadership ensures that the rest of the parliamentarians will be in the room and vote.
Who votes for the motion of no confidence
At this time, calculations show that the PSD is based on the vote of its own MPs, 193 in number, on the 24 votes from Pro Romania, 7 votes from ALDE and 9 votes from PPUSL. In total, it would be about 233 votes, that is, the number needed to remove the government. The party leadership also held negotiations with some of the national minority parliamentarians, from which it hopes to get at least 2-3 more votes. Thus, in a happy scenario for the PSD, the motion will be approved with 235-236 votes, far from the optimistic forecast of Marcel Ciolacu, who said that the motion will be voted on by 250 parliamentarians.
The great concern of the Social Democrats is related to the negotiations carried out by the people of Ludovic Orban with the parliamentarians of the PSD and Pro Romania, whom he tries to convince not to vote on the motion. In recent days, person-to-person negotiations have been carried out and it is not ruled out that on Monday, before the vote, the parliamentarians of the PSD-ALDE-Pro Romania camp will be absent from the plenary.
With such a close vote, any “mistake”, intentional or not, can decide the fate of the motion. It is enough for a parliamentarian to leave the room when voting, or to put the balls in the wrong ballot box and the motion does not pass ”, explains a leader of the PSD leadership.
The party has already announced to its parliamentarians that whoever is absent for no reason will be excluded from the PSD.
Citeșe and PSD announce that he is ready to take over the government. Sorin Grindeanu: The motion will be voted on and adopted
PSD and Pro Romania accuse each other of counterattack
Accusations of treason have already appeared between PSD and Pro Romania. On Sunday, the president of Pro Romania, Víctor Ponta, declared that the motion does not pass because PSD and PNL have made a “against.”
“PSD MPs will vote tomorrow on the motion of no confidence! The Orban government must go, it has already done too much damage. I hope our partners are serious and that their MPs vote for the removal of this government. The statements on countertops o Occult agreements are frivolous and are not a substitute for voting, ”responded PSD leader Marcel Ciolacu.
PSD vice president Claudiu Manda had a harsher reaction. “All PSD parliamentarians will be present tomorrow at movement and will vote for. I’m curious how you will vote pinocchio and his team, “Manda wrote on Facebook, referring to deputies Victor Ponta and Pro Romania.
The parties that support the government do not participate in the vote. The UDMR decides on Monday how to vote
PNL, USR and PMP will not participate in the plenary vote. Parliamentarians from government-backed parties will not enter the room. On Sunday, Prime Minister Ludovic Orban had a final round of talks with PMP leader Eugen Tomac, and made sure that the PSD could not persuade Tomac lawmakers to vote on the motion.
“The NLP does not support this political approach of the barons of the PSD, irresponsible, unconstitutional and contrary to the interests of the political stability of a country still at war with the pandemic,” explained the leader of the NLP deputies, Florin Román, before the absence of the NLP parliamentarians in the plenary session.
USR leader Dan Barna also announced on his Facebook page that his party will not vote on the vote of no confidence. “Romania doesn’t need the PSD circus,” wrote Barna.
The lack of parliamentarians in the plenary could lead to a quorum for a session not being assured. For the motion to be read and voted on, at least 233 senators and deputies must be present in the room.
The UDMR decides only on Monday how to vote the vote of no confidence, but the party leader, Kelemen Hunor, has already hinted that the UDMR will not vote against the government despite the fact that there are “1,000 reasons” to remove the executive headed by Ludovic Orban. Most likely, the UDMR parliamentarians will abstain from voting.
Three scenarios for the motion of no confidence
For the plenary session to take place on Monday and for parliamentarians to debate and vote on the motion of no confidence, it is necessary for at least 233 parliamentarians to register their presence. Considering that the parties that support the government will not attend the plenary session, PSD may not be able to assemble a meeting quorum necessary, and the plenary session will be postponed to a later date. The problem for PSD, in this situation, is related to the appeal made by the Liberals to CCR. A motion presented in special session and voted on after September 1, in ordinary session, may be unconstitutional.
If the plenary session and the motion of censure take place does not collect at least 233 votes “Para”, the Orban government remains in office, but the PSD can present a new motion of no confidence after September 1, when Parliament enters its ordinary session.
If the motion of censure garner 233 votesThe Orban government is removed from office and can remain interim for a maximum of 45 days. During this time, the president convenes the parties for consultations and proposes a prime minister. Klaus Iohannis has repeatedly stated that he will not grant a new mandate to the PSD, despite the fact that the Social Democrats have announced that they have a prime minister proposal and a government program.
Most likely, the current government will remain in office until at least the local elections on September 27.
