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The mythical 70.3% of the reelection of Mário Soares does not reach the mythical, but it is a historical scenario in such a disputed presidential contest. The first ICS / ISCTE poll on presidential elections for Expresso and SIC gives Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa a solid victory in the first round, with 65% of the votes, and a base of support that, according to the opinion study, concentrates in the center. More than half (55%) of the electorate that declared having voted for the PS in the legislatures and almost three-quarters (72%) of those who say they voted for the PSD elect Marcelo, a president who is against the central bloc to govern the country, but that, by coming “From left to right,” as he said in a campaign five years ago, ended up expanding his space to the socialist left. Nor do the divisions in the PS and in the Government, where this week two ministers took positions in front of this barricade (text to the side), do not seem to disturb the president’s path towards a peaceful reelection.
However, the size of the victory can still fluctuate due to the vagueness that the poll shows is worth noting among left-wing voters. Ana Gomes, the socialist who advanced against the will of António Costa and who has already begun to divide the hosts of the party (Pedro Nuno Santos believes that the PS should support her, but Augusto Santos Silva categorically rejects this hypothesis), appears in this poll Secondly. place, but very distant from Marcelo, with 12% of the votes, substantially less than the two candidates from the socialist space, Sampaio da Nóvoa (22.8%) and Maria de Belém (4.2%).
