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Portugal could reach December with almost 20 thousand cases of coronavirus daily and with a total of approximately 8000 deaths. The forecasts are from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, USA.
The study describes three different scenarios for each country. In this first case, the researchers assume that the general population continues to wear a mask in public, that relief from restrictive measures is maintained but that confinement is reintroduced for six weeks (in December) when eight deaths per million are reached. population.
A second scenario, much more pessimistic, where containment measures are not reintroduced, shows that Portugal reaches 80,000 cases of Covid-19 in January of next year.
In a third, more beneficial scenario, in which the use of masks increases to 95% of the population in the space of seven days and later containment measures are reintroduced in case of exceeding eight deaths per million, the projection is 17 thousand cases a day (at the end of December) and 4015 deaths.
In the worst case, more than 4,000 hospital beds, around 1,700 intensive care beds, and just over 1,600 ventilators would be needed.
This Sunday, Portugal reached the level of 1840 dead and 60 258 infected.
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