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A poll by NBC News and the “Wall Street Journal,” published Sunday, gives Democratic candidate Joe Biden a 14 percentage point lead over Republican Donald Trump, who is seeking reelection in the US presidential election on April 3. from November. This advance by former vice president Barack Obama is the largest since early July, when a Quinnipiac University poll gave him a 15 percentage point lead.
The NBC News and Wall Street Journal poll, conducted after the shocking first presidential debate but even before Trump was hospitalized for contracting Covid-19, points to 53% of Joe Biden’s voting intentions, down from just 39%. of the current president of the United States, who runs the risk of being the first to fail for re-election in the 21st century. The last one who failed to win the second term was Republican George H. Bush, father of also President George W. Bush.
Although the most recent national poll increased Biden’s average lead to 8.1 percentage points, which would ensure his re-election, despite America’s electoral system, where the electoral college prevails over the national total. votes that make Trump’s reelection possible by three or even four percentage points less, two other national polls conducted after the (small) presidential debate moderated by Chris Wallace present quite different conclusions.
An IBD / TIPP poll showed that Biden’s progress fell to 2.7 percentage points among Americans expected to vote (48.6% for Democrats and 45.9% for Republicans), despite the Most of those polled considered the former vice president to be the winner of the debate: 44% -33% among those registered in the two main US parties and 43% -20% among independents.
Also according to this survey, Biden dominated in terms of sympathy, was considered more presidential and with a better command of affairs, surpassing the current president of the United States on the issues of Covid-19, racial problems and the electoral process, while that Trump slightly dominated. in the appointment to the Supreme Federal Court and in the management of the economy, in addition to being seen as mentally more agile.
The Hill-Harris X poll indicates that Biden increased his lead by two points in less than a month, and now has a seven-point lead over Trump. Among registered voters surveyed, 47% indicated that they would vote for the former vice president, while only 40% would vote for the current president, leaving 7% of the electorate undecided.
Also on Sunday, two CBS News / YouGov polls were revealed, relating to the states of Ohio and Pennsylvania. Both gave the victory to Donald Trump in 2016, but now there is a 47% tie in Ohio and Biden has a seven point advantage in Pennsylvania (51%, against 44% of voters in favor of the president of the United States) .
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