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Less than two months before the presidential elections in the United States, the Democratic candidate currently leads the voting intentions in the latest poll conducted by “Reuters” and Ipsos. According to the results, Joe Biden rises 12% among voters, leaving a wide margin between him and the current president and Republican candidate for the White House, Donald Trump.
The poll conducted Sept. 3-9, and released Wednesday, suggests that 52% of potential voters plan to vote for Biden, while 40% maintain their support for Trump. About 3% of those surveyed said they intended to vote for another candidate and only 5% admit that they still do not know what their choice will be in the November 3 elections.
According to data collected by the news agency and the consultancy, there are fewer undecided American voters today compared to a similar poll conducted in 2016, a factor that is not decisive for the results. According to “Reuters,” even if the remaining undecided voters decide to vote for Trump, the poll shows that the Republican candidate would still lose the popular vote to Biden.
However, nothing is lost. The current occupant of the White House can still win reelection even without winning the national popular vote, since elections are not decided by the national vote, but who wins in the Electoral College.
Each federal state is entitled to a certain number of “large voters,” a distribution that depends on its population and representation in Congress. Examples: California, the most populous state in the US, has 55 “big voters,” while Wyoming, Alaska, or the federal capital, Washington, has just three. To give a more concrete example, it is true that Hillary Clinton obtained, in the November 8 elections, some 2.8 million more votes than her opponent, but Donald Trump guaranteed the victory that mattered. She collected the majority of the “large voters” of the Electoral College: 306, against 232 of the Democratic candidate.
These “big voters” are people elected by the state apparatus of the Republican and Democratic parties and can be leaders of state parties, simple leaders, or individuals with a personal connection to a particular presidential candidate. Bill Clinton, for example, is a “big voter” from New York.
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