Fears of a perfect storm are not exaggerated



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The vote by mail for the presidential election next Tuesday appears to be the basis of a complex dispute between the candidacies of Trump and Biden.

Early voting, in person or by mail, is all the rage in the United States. Covid-19 pandemic “forces”. This is confirmed by the approximately 66 million – and the number will continue to grow – of voters who have already exercised the right to speak their justice in the presidential elections next Tuesday. The very head of state, Republican Donald Trump, who is facing Democrat Joe Biden, did so last Saturday at a state library in Florida, where he has a fiscal address. All true? Not really. Also, every time he moves his lips saying that the vote by mail, traditionally more favorable to Democrats, is halfway to fraud, the current White House tenant now comes to say that the name of the winner of the ballot should be announced. at night. election, when it is well known that the counting of votes by mail always takes a few days.

In any case, although it is considered practically immune to fraud and has the advantage of giving more flexibility to voters, the postal voting system presents a clear risk: that thousands or even millions of votes will be annulled because voters have not followed instructions to correctly complete the ballot or because it was not sent to the electoral council in a timely manner.

Yet despite criticism, Trump has used the vote-by-mail system on several occasions, most recently in this year’s primaries.

Additionally, in 2017, the president, first lady Melania, and Trump’s eldest daughter, Ivanka, made headlines for incorrectly completing mail-in ballots in the New York City elections.

At that point, Melania forgot to sign the envelope, Ivanka sent the vote out of time, and Trump incorrectly entered her date of birth. He wrote on July 14, 1946 instead of June 14 …

Democrats vote more

But in fact, Trump has reason to be concerned about early voting in general. The “oscillating states” – oscillating states, which do not have predictable political preferences and, therefore, are extremely important in the final result – concentrate, so far, half of the previous vote. And for now, Biden can keep dreaming. Democrats voted more than Republicans in Florida and Pennsylvania, crucial territories.

In addition, according to the newspaper “The New York Times”, the states where Biden is expected to win have already registered around 24 million early votes, compared to 9.2 million states for Trump.

Colorado, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington (state), and Utah use vote-by-mail almost exclusively. What will the president do with them?



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