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The fall in popularity of Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro was reflected in the first round of the Brazilian municipal elections, held this Sunday, with several candidates who had his support to be defeated or removed from the second round, scheduled for November 29 in the 57 cities. where nobody got more than 50% of the votes. But in addition to the wave of victories for the traditional center-right and right-wing parties, such as the Democrats and the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB), there was also bad news for the Workers’ Party (PT), led by former presidents Lula da Silva. and Dilma Rousseff, who was overtaken by other left-wing parties, namely the Socialism and Freedom Party (PSOL).
São Paulo, the main Brazilian city, was the best example of how disastrous the municipalities were for Bolsonaro, who at the moment has no party, but supported candidates from his base of support in Congress, and for the PT. The second round will be disputed by the current mayor Bruno Covas, from the PSDB, who obtained 32.86%, and the former presidential candidate Guilherme Boulos, from the PSOL, who obtained 20.24% of the votes. Supported by Bolsonaro, Celso Russomanno (Republicans) was only in fourth place (with 10.50%) and the “PT” Jilmar Tatto did not pass the sixth position, with only 8.65% of São Paulo at his side.
But Rio de Janeiro also disappointed the Brazilian president, since the current mayor Marcelo Crivella (Republicans), former bishop of the Universal Church of the Kingdom of God known for his ultra-conservative policies, did not pass second place (21.9%), being at a clear disadvantage in the second round to compete with the winner, Eduardo Paes (Democrats), who seeks to lead the “Wonderful City” again, obtaining 37.01% of the votes. Out of the November 29 dispute, the left was left, with the Portuguese Martha Rocha (PDT) convincing 11.3% of the voters, ahead of Benedita da Silva (PT), who obtained 11.27%.
In Belo Horizonte, capital of the state of Minas Gerais, Alexandre Kalil (PSD) was re-elected in the first round, with 63.36% of the votes, leaving the “bolsonarista” Bruno Engler (PRTB), who had 9.95 behind . % of voters with you. And even in cities where the president maintains good results in opinion polls, failures of “his” candidates have followed. This was the case of Manaus, capital of Amazonas, since the electorate divided between two allies of the president ended up alienating them from the second round.
Despite this, Jair Bolsonaro took to Twitter Sunday night to share a rather optimistic reading of the results of the municipal elections. In fact, the parties of the left suffered a historic defeat in these elections, a clear sign that the conservative wave came in 2018 to stay. By 2022 the certainty that, at the polls, we will consolidate our democracy with an improved electoral system. God, Country and Family, ”wrote the president, who in two years will try to be re-elected, having against him not only the left but probably also the parties that supported the presidency of Fernando Henrique Cardoso between 1995 and 2002.
– The left suffered a historic defeat in these elections, a clear sign that the conservative wave came in 2018 to stay.
– By 2022 the certainty that, at the polls, we will consolidate our democracy with an improved electoral system. GOD, COUNTRY and FAMILY.
– Jair M. Bolsonaro (@jairbolsonaro) November 16, 2020
The possibility that Bolsonaro will face a center-right candidate, in a negotiation process involving figures such as television presenter Luciano Huck, former Justice Minister Sergio Moro and São Paulo Governor João Doria (PSDB), was reinforced as a result of the municipal elections. Democrats should not only guarantee Rio de Janeiro, as Eduardo Paes will move to the left as a “lesser evil” to keep Marcelo Crivella at bay, as guaranteed by the prefectures of Salvador de Bahía, Curitiba and Florianópolis in the first round.
As for the PSDB, in addition to being the clear favorite in São Paulo – where the Bolsonarista electorate will hardly prefer to contribute to Guilherme Boulos’s victory – it won in the city of Natal, but suffered a setback in Porto Alegre, capital of Rio Grande do Sul. Since the current mayor Nelson Marchezan Júnior was left out of the second round, to be disputed between Sebastião Melo (MDB), with 31.01% of the votes, and Manuela d’Ávila (PC do B), with 29 %. The candidate for vice president of Fernando Haddad in the 2018 presidential elections is one of the hopes of a Brazilian left in which the hegemony of the PT does not seem to have resisted the arrest of Lula da Silva and the the impeachment process by Dilma Rousseff.
Even the founder and historical leader of the “PT” Lula da Silva even appealed to the party to support Guilherme Boulos in São Paulo in the first round, avoiding the possibility that the PSOL candidate would stay away from the electoral dispute. And for the PT there is little possibility of significant electoral conquests on November 29, staying in the race in Vitória do Espírito Santo and Recife, one of the northeastern strongholds it seeks to preserve.
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