Brexit. Goodbye time is coming, but nothing guarantees it’s good – Observer



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According to what the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, said in the European Parliament on November 25, “there has been remarkable progress on several important issues.” The areas affected, as explained by the president of the European Commission, are “police and judicial cooperation, coordination of social security systems, and also in the field of trade in goods and services and transport.”

On these areas, Ursula von der Leyen even mentioned that there is already a basis for a “possible final text”.

However, despite these notes of optimism, Ursula von der Leyen’s speech in the European Parliament was marked by a negative tone. “Frankly, I can’t tell you today if there will be a deal at the end,” he said. This uncertainty is due to the issues that, practically 10 months after the start of the negotiations of the future relationship and just over a month after their completion, remain open.

These are the problems, or obstacles, that we address in the next point.

First, the issue of fishing. It was an area until now regulated by the European Union and that, with the departure of the United Kingdom from the community, will have to operate under a new regime. Here’s a double-edged sword. On the one hand, the European Union wants to guarantee maximum access to British coastal waters, until now exploited by fleets from EU countries, which, in 2019, held 55% of the net value of fishing quotas in the United Kingdom. On the other hand, the British export between 60 and 80% of the fish that their own fleets catch, and if they want to continue to easily export what they catch to the European Union, there must be a trade agreement.

And here we come to the second point, which is also the most crucial: trade between the UK and the EU. In her speech to the European Parliament on Wednesday, Ursula von der Leyen said that there had been “remarkable progress” also in the commercial area. However, for now there are no obvious or concrete signs of this evolution, this may be a statement in which the president of the European Commission prefers to see the glass half full and on the way to convince everyone that it is. But there are indications to the contrary.



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