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A consultant describes in an article that the chronology related to the end of pandemic it will also depend on the location. For example in In the United States and most developed countries, the end of the epidemiological crisis is likely to be reached in the third or fourth quarter of 2021. Given that there is a possibility that the transition to the long-awaited normality occurs earlier, possibly in the first or second quarter of the same year.
A McKinsey it also predicts that distribution of a vaccine, after effective and safe development of one, to a sufficient portion of the population capable of inducing herd immunity, can take place in as little as six months. This will require the rapid availability of millions of doses, effective supply chains, and the willingness of people to get vaccinated in the first half of 2021.
“We believe these are Expectations reasonable, based on the information disclosed by the pharmaceutical companies and the data obtained on the acceptance of the majority of the population to receive the vaccine“, you can read in the article.
Therefore, herd immunity is expected to be achieved in the second quarter of 2021 if the vaccine or vaccines developed are effectively effective and efficiently administered by the population around the world, or if some kind is achieved in the meantime. immunity throughout the population. , also all over the planet.
“The establishment of group immunity would not mean the total end of public health interventions. And people may need to be re-vaccinated regularly to maintain that immunity, and COVID-19-19 under control. Still, to Group immunity may mean that emergency measures actually in force in many countries could finally be lifted“suggests the McKinsey. This, in turn, can result in the reconstruction and economic recovery of countless nations.
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