Barometer: Block and Chega separated by 0.4 points | SO 2021



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There are several setbacks in the November political barometer carried out by Intercampus for the Business journal is he Mail in the morning. The main one is that of the Bloco de Esquerda, which loses three points to now stand at 7.7%, approaching Chega, currently at 7.3%.

In addition to the decline of the bloc, which the newspapers attribute to the fact that the party voted for the right against the State Budget for 2021, there is also a rise of the PAN in the amount of one percentage point (to 5.3%). , which exceeds the CDU (4.9%). Both the CDU and the PAN chose to abstain from voting on the budget, as did the two unregistered deputies.

Interestingly, in the last barometer, the Block obtained the best result since the legislative elections of October 2019. With 11% of the voting intentions, the blockers reinforced the third position.

On the right, the CDS remains at 4.1% that it obtained in October, while the Liberal Initiative (IL) rises to 3.3% of voting intentions (one point more).

In the center, PS and PSD lose points, but remain in first and second place with 37.1% and 24.2% of voting intentions. They are followed by Bloco, Chega, PAN, CDU, CDS and IL. And the last place comes Livre, without Joacine, which rises from 0.3 to 1.8%.

Almost half of those interviewed by Intercampus (49.1%) believe that the Block did not “do well to vote against OE 2021” and 33.6% “believe that it was.” On the other hand, 63.2% of the interviewees understand and agree with abstaining from the PCP and the ENP (only 20.9% think it was a wrong decision).

In the evaluation of the leaders, António Costa, the performance of António Costa (PS) continues to fall and is now at values ​​of 3.2. Rui Rio (PSD) and Catarina Martins also fell to 2.9 and 3, respectively. André Silva (PAN) has 2.9 and Jerónimo de Sousa (PCP), Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos (CDS) and João Cotrim de Figueiredo (IL) have 2.7. André Ventura (Chega) is last with 2 points.

Despite falling from 3.8 to 3.6 in the last month, the performance of the President of the Republic continues to be superior to that of any other leader.

The field work (telephone interviews) of this barometer was carried out between November 9 and 16, after the declaration of the fourth state of emergency. The maximum sampling error for this study, for a 95% confidence interval, is approximately 3.9% and the response rate obtained in this study was 60.5%.

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