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If the legislative elections were held now, only Chega would strengthen at the ballot box, compared to the results of a year ago, by winning seats in the Assembly of the Republic. This is the conclusion of a new survey carried out by ISC-ISCTE for the newspaper “Expresso” and for “SIC”, in which the PS is expected to remain ten points behind the PSD, maintaining the 37% of votes it obtained in the legislative proposals in October 2019.
As for the PSD, it would get 27% of the votes and the CDU with 6%. The Left Bloc, however, would go from the 9.5% that it managed a year ago to 8%, registering a slight drop in the voting intentions of the Portuguese. But it wouldn’t be the only party to record bugs.
The CDS fell from 4.2% to 2% and Livre would no longer have parliamentary representation. The Liberal Initiative, the party led by João Cotrim Figueiredo, registered a slight increase from 1.3% to 2% compared to the February poll.
The party led by André Ventura, however, would be strengthened by rising from 1.3% to 7% in voting intentions.
This means that, if legislative elections were to take place now, Chega could elect a parliamentary group larger than the PCP, which has ten deputies with seats, since the highest concentration of Chega votes comes from the Lisbon electorate.
This new poll also reinforces António Costa’s stability as prime minister amid a pandemic. In February, António Costa had an overall rating of 5.6 (on a scale of 0 to 10), while now he is above the percentage point. The one who falls a lot, however, is Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, who sees his overall rating drop from 8.1 to 7.
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