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Eight out of ten already advocated closing at night due to the onslaught of the mayors of the Porto Metropolitan Area.
It is not unanimous, but it is enlightening: eight out of ten Portuguese (81%) defend the imposition of a curfew, according to an Aximage poll for JN and TSF. On the contrary, those who defend a new confinement are now a minority (39%). Opposition to a generalized shutdown similar to that of the first wave of the pandemic is highest among respondents aged 65 and over (61%).
The possibility of imposing an overnight curfew gained momentum earlier this week, especially among some of the mayors of the Porto Metropolitan Area. But it is not this recent accession that explains the Portuguese inclination, as Aximage’s fieldwork took place even before (October 22-26) the most dramatic appeals.
A much more plausible reference will be the intervention of Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, on October 16, when he admitted the possibility of a curfew, in the event of a “brutal worsening of the situation.” According to experts, only the Northern Region may reach seven thousand new cases a day next week. And the Portuguese also accentuate this perception: 31% now believe that the possibility of becoming infected is high or very high (13 percentage points more than in September).
The survey appears to be pointing to a curfew lockdown trade. A month ago, there was a majority of Portuguese (47% versus 40%) in favor of a measure as radical as the one in March and April. These days in October, even with the increase in the number of infected, this is no longer the case: 50% do not want a new confinement and only 39% continue to defend it.
A majority that crosses all regions of the country, but not all age groups: the elderly (65 or more years) are the most convinced opponents (61%), but among the youngest (18 to 34 years) there are even more people to defend a new confinement (48%) than to reject it (38%). When analyzing the segments by party vote, the contest is transversal, with two small exceptions: the voters of the PAN and those of the CDS (however, the samples of these from the parties are small and the margin of error is greater).
Parts, transport and sanitary facilities on the risk map
Parties and large gatherings are still the situations in which the Portuguese fear contagion the most: they are 81% (five percentage points more than in July). Public transport will soon follow, but with a slight reduction compared to September: 73% of those surveyed point out this, with an emphasis on the metropolitan areas of Porto and Lisbon. One of the most significant increases refers to health centers and hospitals, now indicated by 47% of the Portuguese (17 points more). At the other end of the table are schools: despite reported cases, they are still considered safe places (only 4% disagree). When analyzing the different segments of the sample, a pattern is perceived in the perception of risk: the inhabitants of the North and Porto lead in nine of the 11 possibilities presented; the same occurs in the two youngest age groups (18/34 and 35/49 years), who dominate the map of “fear”.
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