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MANILA, Philippines – Only the Kalayaan Islands remain under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 1 as Tropical Depression Vicky is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm in the next 24 hours and leave the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) this Sunday afternoon or evening, according to the state meteorological office.
“Strong breezes will be experienced in conditions close to a gale over the Kalayaan Islands due to the passage of the tropical depression,” said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) in its weather bulletin issued at 5 am Sunday. .
According to Pagasa, the center of Vicky was last seen 195 kilometers west-northwest of the city of Puerto Princesa, Palawan, or 340 kilometers east of Kalayaan, Palawan.
Vicky is moving west-northwest at 25 kph, and has maximum sustained winds of 55 kph near the center and gusts up to 70 kph.
Pagasa said the tropical depression is forecast to move generally west-northwest over the Western Philippine Sea in the next 12 hours.
After leaving PAR, Vicky will turn to the southwest “as she is under the full influence of the northeast monsoon swell,” the meteorological bureau added.
However, Pagasa said the tropical depression is less likely to reach severe tropical storm status during the forecast period due to “marginally favorable conditions.”
According to Pagasa, the combined effects of Vicky and the end of a frontal system will bring moderate to heavy rains, sometimes intense, over the mainland Cagayan valley, Apayao, Kalinga, mountain province, Ifugao, Aurora, Quezon, Bicol region and Kalayaan Islands. This Sunday, light to moderate rains, sometimes heavy, are expected on the Babuyan islands, Metro Manila and the rest of the administrative region of Cordillera, Central Luzon, Calabarzon and Mimaropa.
By Monday, the two weather systems will bring moderate to heavy rains over the Babuyan Islands, the mainland Cagayan Valley, Aurora, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province and Ifugao. Light to moderate rains, sometimes heavy, are expected over Batanes, the Kalayaan Islands and the rest of the Cordillera Administrative Region.
“Floods (including flash floods) and landslides caused by rain can occur during periods of heavy or prolonged rains, especially in areas identified as highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and in locations that received significant preceding rainfall during the last days or weeks, ”warned Pagasa.
“Adjacent or nearby areas may also experience flooding in the absence of such precipitation due to surface runoff or swelling of river channels,” the meteorological office added.
Meanwhile, there are also likely to be gusts of wind in most of Luzon, especially in the coastal and mountainous areas, due to the increase in the northeast monsoon.
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