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Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, September 6) – The Philippines has flattened the curve for COVID-19 cases, a group of researchers said, but warned the public against complacency amid the fight over the pandemic.
Speaking to CNN Philippines on Sunday, University of the Philippines professor and OCTA research team member Guido David said that the country’s coronavirus reproduction rate, a statistic used to measure the rate of transmission of the virus, has decreased to a value less than one.
“Actually na-flatten that he“David said in an interview with Writing weekend, noting that the reproductive number of COVID-19 has dropped to around 0.94 from 0.99 last week. “So nagde-decrease he still is and that is very good news. I mean, nasu-to hold natin ‘yung flattening of the curve “.
[Translation: Actually it has already flattened and that is very good news. It means we are sustaining the flattening of the curve.]The reproductive number is an epidemiological metric that is used to describe the “contagion” or potential for transmission of infectious agents, according to the US National Center for Biotechnology Information.
This represents the number of people who can be infected by a confirmed case. Ideally this should be one or less, as any higher value means there is still significant community transmission, according to medical experts.
David, however, urged Filipinos not to be “too excited” as he warned that COVID-19 trends are subject to change and can be reversed “at any time.”
“We would like to remind people not to get too excited To who flattening of the curve. If we are seeing it but (but) the trends are not irreversible … Sense (that is), we could have another raise, ”David said.
“The virus is still here, we are still getting around 3,000 cases a day, so we have to keep ‘yung (the) momentum, to keep the increase. So we have to keep doing things well and not waver, “he added.
Apart from the reproductive figure of the virus, David said that the positivity rate, one of the main data that medical experts are studying and monitoring, is also decreasing. From averages of more than 4,000 daily cases in mid-August, the country in recent days has been reporting a lower average number of infections at 3,000, he explained.
For the health care capacity aspect, the professor also noted that the occupancy rate of COVID-19 beds in Metro Manila has also decreased.
Should NCR ease restrictions?
Despite the development, David urged the government to carefully evaluate any plans to ease restrictions in the capital region, which remains under general community quarantine until the end of September.
“If we ever get relaxed with MGCQ (modified general community quarantine), we should evaluate this carefully, we should think carefully about it,” he emphasized.
Coronavirus infections in the Philippines have soared to more than 230,000, and the Health Department listed 2,529 new cases on Saturday.
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