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[Disclaimer: Whatever is written here is based on information released by the Department of Health at the time of publication. Whatever changes the DoH makes in their data later on…well that’s a different story in itself and as they say in their disclaimer: “the total cases reported may be subject to change as these numbers undergo constant cleaning and validation.”]
While we focus on yesterday’s deaths, a quarter (25 percent) of recent cases (1,027 of 4,090) were “unknown persons” or persons WITHOUT MARKED LOCATION AT THE REGIONAL LEVEL. It’s alarming because you don’t know which part of the Philippines even these patients are from. Technically, you don’t know who to contact, track, OR isolate.
Today, the unknowns continue to grow with one-third of recent cases (Sept. 2-15, 2020) or 1,060 of 3,177 do not have a tagged location.
Which leaves us with a question: is the data reliable?
The Health Agency reports 3,544 recently announced cases today and 15 laboratories did not present information. Bringing the total to 269,407 confirmed cases.
Of the 57,392 active cases, there is an increase in critically ill and seriously ill patients from 3.4 percent yesterday to 4.1 percent today. Converting to a numerical value, this is an increase from 1,822 to 2,354 cases or more than 700 cases overnight in this category.
NCR accounted for only 19 percent, while the top five provinces (including NCR) contributed only 41.4 percent of total cases today. Why the sudden good news? Well, because the bad news is that 1,060 of the cases or a staggering 33.4 percent do not have a tagged location, or are classified as unknown.
According to the data, the region that topped today’s count was the IVA Region, beating NCR for the first time with 761 cases versus 690 cases, respectively. Region VI also surpassed Region III to rank third with 276 versus 261 cases, respectively.
The question is: who owns most of the 1,060 unknowns? Both NCR and CALABARZON continue to receive the bulk of the delays.
Summary of recoveries and deaths today
- Recoveries: 395 reported today, 77 percent recovery rate (bottom)
- Deaths: 34 reported today, fatality rate 1.73 percent (bottom)
- NCR reported 13 total deaths followed by CALABARZON with 5.
- 29 of 34 (85.3 percent) of the deaths occurred in September, while there were reports of deaths since April.
- 538 cases were previously labeled as recoveries, but after further validation they were removed from the list.
With 122 testing facilities, the Department of Health reports 2,977,106 people tested as of September 14, 2020 or an increase of more than 50,000 people tested overnight. About 2.73 percent of the total population has been tested for SARS-COV2.
THE DATA OF YESTERDAY
Testing capacity
- 2,931,967 individuals screened (~ 2.69 percent of total population) as of September 13, 2020
- September 13, 2020: 2,592 positives out of 23,634 individuals tested. This is one of the lowest recorded numbers of samples and individuals tested since July 15, 2020. It is surprising considering there are over 110 accredited laboratories compared to three months ago.
- Reports from: 95 out of 114 testing labs (83 percent submission rate)
- Of the 2,592 positives on September 13, 2020, 64 percent (1,661) were reported at 33 of the 42 testing facilities at NCR.
- Positive daily rate for September 13, 2020: 11 percent (low)
- Cumulative positive rate for September 13, 2020: 10.6 percent (unchanged)
The summary
- Total number of confirmed cases: 265,888 (as of September 14, 2020)
- Total cases yesterday (September 14, 2020): 4,699 new reported (4,090 recent or 87 percent from September 1 to 14, 2020)
- Region with the highest number of cases as of September 14, 2020: NCR – 1,498 (1,102 recent).
- Top regions (with more than 100 cases) as of September 14, 2020: NCR, Region IVA, Region III, and Region VI
- Single-digit reporting regions: CARAGA
- Returnees: 54 new cases (Total: 10,986 as of September 14, 2020).
- Unidentified at the regional level: 1,027 cases !!! (25 percent of total cases)
The unknowns (Cases WITHOUT UNMARKED LOCATIONS)
Total unknowns: 1,482 (31.5 percent more than 5.43 percent the day before).
- Regional level: 1027
- Provincial level: 226 (198 from CALABARZON, 24 from MIMAROPA, 1 each from Central Luzon, Ilocos Region and CARAGA)
- City / Municipality level: 230 (130 from NCR, 34 from Cavite, 10 from Zamboanga del Sur, 6 from Camarines Sur and the rest of other provinces of the country)
The known (Top 5 Regions)
- NCR: 1,498 newly announced cases (1,102 cases or 73.6 percent recent)
- More than 100 cases: Quezon City, Pasay, Manila and Mandaluyong
- 50-100 cases: Caloocan, Valenzuela, Taguig, Pasig, Malabon, Parañaque, Makati
- 10 to less than 50 cases: Las Piñas, Marikina, Muntinlupa, San Juan and Navotas
- less than 10 cases: Pateros
- Location not tagged at the city / municipality level: 130 (9 percent)
- Main provinces by region for the day: Cavite (Region IVA), Bataan (Region III), Negros Occidental (Region VI), Cebu (Region VII).
- The IVA region remained in second place: 936 (830 cases or 89 percent recent)
- Cavite was at the top with 221 cases followed by Batangas, Laguna and Rizal with triple digits.
- Antipolo (in Rizal) led the region at the city / municipality level with 50 cases.
- 21 cities / municipalities reported double digits.
- Unknown (no labeled location): 198 at the provincial level, 41 at the city / municipality level
Region III came in third: 517 (486 cases or 94 percent recent)
- Bataan province captured the attention of Bulacan with 198 new cases (38.3 percent)
- And Mariveles in Bataan registered 170 of the 198 cases in the province (86 percent)
- Location not labeled: 1 at the provincial level and 5 at the city / municipality level (1 Bulacan, 3 Pampanga, 1 Zambales)
Mariveles, a first-class municipality in Bataan has a population of less than 130,000 people (according to the 2015 census). His first case was registered in March of this year and he had 6 cases in April, 6 in May, 8 in June, 30 in July, 217 in August and 519 in the first fifteen days of September. Now it has a total of 787 cases and 4 deaths.
- Western Visayas came in fourth: 134 cases (127 cases or 95 percent recent)
- Negros Occidental had 87 (65 percent) of the cases in the region
- Bacolod City still had the most cases (44 out of 87 or 51 percent in Negros Occidental)
- Central Visayas ranked fifth for the second day in a row, but still had fewer than 100 cases.
- Cebu province had 80 of the 91 (88 percent) cases
- Cebu City reported the highest number at the city / municipality level with 28 cases.
- 7-day average of new cases as of September 14, 2020: 3,880 cases / day (highest)
- 7-day average of new deaths as of September 14, 2020: 105 deaths / day (highest)
THE WORLD
- Global fatality rate: 3.17 percent (lowest)
- Overall recovery rate: 72.2 percent (highest)
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
About 270,000 new cases were added yesterday, bringing the world average of 7 days to about 280,000 cases / day.
Total global deaths increased slightly with 4,447 recorded deaths, bringing the 7-day death average to more than 5,000 deaths / day.
The United States passes the 6.7 million mark, with California, Texas and Florida as the top three contributors to the pool of coronavirus cases. Both the United States and Brazil have started to see a further decline in the total number of cases over the past two weeks.
India continues to dominate the world numbers with more than 90,000 cases again. It now has about 4.9 million cases. It also led the global death toll yesterday with 1,140 recently announced deaths. Despite this, the case fatality rate in India is lower than in the Philippines (1.64 percent versus 1.67 percent, respectively).
Brazil remains in third place, but has experienced a considerable slowdown in the number of new cases and new deaths.
- India continues to top the list with more than 80,000 new cases.
- The Philippines is back in the top ten list this time in ninth place with 4,699 new cases reported.
- India continued to record the highest number of deaths the day before.
- With 259 deaths reported by the Philippines, it marked the second consecutive day among the ten countries with the most deaths. While we were in 10th place the other day, we went up to 5th yesterday.
With Italy in a second wave since the beginning of August, its 7-day average is now 1,425 cases / day. However, much less per 2,000 daily cases from the Philippines. And that’s where the difference lies. If the numbers remain constant, it will be roughly 10 days before the Philippines overtakes Italy, once the European country of despair during the start of the pandemic, for 20th place in the world ranking of coronavirus cases.
