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With elections sitting on very narrow margins, what are the candidates’ paths to victory in the Electoral College?
To win the White House, a candidate must win at least 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 at stake in all 50 states, but not the popular vote.
Nearly 2.9 million more people voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election, but she still lost.
President Donald Trump won because he prevailed in the Electoral College, under a system established in the United States Constitution and refined through the centuries.
Currently, the road to 270 seems increasingly difficult for Trump, although Democratic challenger Joe Biden seems poised to do so.
Biden’s path forward
Democrat Joe Biden’s campaign has a relatively easy and straightforward path to follow. Biden kept the so-called “Blue Wall” in the Midwest, pushing Wisconsin back from Trump’s 2016 victory.
Biden is also doing well in Arizona, a state that hasn’t endorsed a Democratic presidential candidate since 1996.
With Arizona included, Biden has 264 votes in the Electoral College. If Arizona holds, it can win any of the states that have yet to be called a battleground, including Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, or Nevada.
Trump’s path
Trump’s path forward is much more difficult.
Trump currently has 214 electoral votes. Out of Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada and Georgia, Trump needs to win at least three of those states.
If you win three of those four, you need Pennsylvania too.
Biden currently leads the vote tally in all of them except North Carolina.
Each state is assigned a different number of electoral votes, depending on the number of representatives it has in the House, plus its two senators.
Trump is expected to be declared the winner in Alaska with three electoral votes, but that would not alter his path up.
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