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Here’s what Hilmar Mjelde, postdoctoral fellow and researcher at the Norwegian Research Center (NORCE) says.
The American expert believes that it is completely ruled out that Donald Trump can continue as president after the date that is the turning point for the seizure of power in the United States.
– Trump cannot under any circumstances remain in power after January 20. Loses all presidential power on January 20 Mjelde tells ABC News.
Trump is nearing a realization
On Tuesday, it became clear that the federal body GSA gave the green light to incoming President Joe Biden to begin the transition period before taking office on January 20.
This means that the incoming president and the team around him have significant access to public funds and can coordinate the inauguration with the incumbent administration and the country’s authorities.
But it wasn’t long before Trump made himself heard. twitter where he made it clear that he has in no way given up the fight to continue in the White Minds.
Trump upholds his accusations that the election has been stolen and that there has been extensive and systematic election fraud in several states. But evidence is lacking.
However, the Twitter message is interpreted as a sign that Trump is approaching recognition of losing to Biden.
– All other scenarios are 100 percent excluded
Postdoctoral fellow Hilmar Mjelde is an American expert and works as a researcher at the Norwegian Research Center (NORCE). Photo: Gerhard Flaaten
– What exactly is Trump’s additional tactic now, why doesn’t he give up when he still has a bit of honor left, but chooses a path where he risks more humiliation and perhaps more enemies within the Republican party?
– Trump is now a president without wings. He behaved like an autocrat and tried to reverse the outcome of an election he lost. But there was never any danger that he would succeed, despite his incompetent and undemocratic attempts.
– But can Trump expect states to choose the voters who will vote for him despite the fact that Biden has received the most votes and thus still clings to power?
– Trump will not be removed from power until January 20. The voters have already fired him, three months in advance.. All other scenarios are based on the wild speculation of crisis-ridden journalists. All readers need to know is that Trump will resign and Biden will take office on January 20. All other scenarios are 100 percent excluded, argues US expert Hilmar Mjelde.
– The party does not want to turn Trump into a permanent enemy
Under the so-called 25th Amendment to the United States Constitution, a president can be deposed against his will if he can no longer govern due to physical or mental illness. The clause was updated when former United States President Ronald Reagan showed signs of insanity towards the end of his presidency.
It is true that the 25th Amendment gives the government the opportunity to impeach a president who for various reasons can no longer do the job. But that would have surprised me. The party does not want to make Trump a permanent enemy. They need their voters. But it had previously been speculated that if Trump resigns before January 20, it is up to Pence to pardon him for “federal crimes,” says US investigator, NTNU professor Espen Moe.
– A sign that most of the people in Trump’s circle know this is over.
He interprets the news that Biden, as incoming president, now has the necessary access to important information in the transition phase, as follows:
– Trump is convinced by his people that it is possible to do two things at the same time, continue fighting and at the same time give Biden the green light.. There are so many Republicans who have argued that the coronary response and other national issues, as well as foreign policy, will be significantly harmed if the new president is very likely to be significantly delayed in his work. But Trump will likely continue to insist that he has won and that the trials must be allowed to continue. They are unlikely to be affected by Biden gaining the necessary access. But in practice, this is a sign that most of the people in Trump’s circle know this is over, Moe tells ABC News.
Video: Trump: – Obama was a fiercely incompetent president
– It never happened that no president has refused to leave the White House
– What options does Trump have now, is it realistic to believe that he can still legally win and be re-elected?
– In theory, voters in about 15 US states can choose voters to vote for Trump regardless of who got the most votes. It seems unlikely and will in all likelihood lead to further rounds in the courts. Perhaps it would have been possible if there had been unanimous pressure from the Republican Party, but it is not. The party has provided significant support for the president to use the legislation for all it is worth, but forcing states to nominate voters who vote for Trump does not appear to have the same support, Moe says.
American expert Espen Moe is professor of political science at NTNU. Photo: Geir Mogen / NTNU
– And what happens if January 20 comes without Trump moving, then he will be arrested? Where is the loyalty of the American police and military? Is Trump still “commander in chief”?
– Now it has never happened that no president has refused to leave the White House, But if Trump refuses now through thick and thin, he will be escorted. The police and military will slavishly follow the law, regardless of political preferences.. When voters cast their votes in December, preferably without trial, the election is decided. Biden is then officially “the president-elect”, and by law the legitimate president as of January 20, sums up the American researcher Espen Moe.
– The United States is not a banana republic
He points out that star attorney Alan Dershowitz said a few days ago that he thought the strategy was not to reverse the results in the various auspicious states, but to get them rejected, so that none of the candidates gets 270 voters. If that happens, the House of Representatives will have the last word, that is, one vote for each. state. Currently, Republicans have 26 of the 50 states.
– For every day that goes by without information on serious voter fraud, and then I mean solid evidence, in court, and not just the allegations from Trump’s spokeswoman, it seems less likely that this information actually exists. And it is not the case that the Trump camp has an interest in waiting to present such evidence. The clock is tickingremembers Moe.
Postdoctoral fellow Hilmar Mjelde, however, does not believe that the situation will escalate, so Trump’s reluctance should be removed from the White House, but that the situation will be cleared up long before it is necessary.
– The US military has no intentions or plans to help with any kind of “self-coup,” which is the technical term for a president trying to stay in power. The United States therefore remains a liberal democracy, not a banana republic. remembers Mjelde.
– The situation can change quickly
Aftonbladet’s US correspondent Wolfgang Hansson writes this about the possibility that the clause in the so-called 25th amendment to the US Constitution could be used against Trump:
“Many are concerned that Trump will refuse to leave the White House or start wars or other crazy things in the past two months. One way to counter this is to reject the president right now. It really works,” Hansson writes.
He points out that Vice President Mike Pence and the government can write a letter to Congress stating that the president cannot hold office, then the president can be removed effective immediately.
Although the probability is considered very small, since most of the main republicans have shown no signs of opposing the president, things can evolve and get on the edge.
“The situation could change rapidly if Trump continues to claim he won even after the states decided the outcome of the presidential election. “Then the country will find itself in a situation where it is obvious that Donald Trump is not only undermining confidence in democracy, but is also damaging the national security interests of the United States and the Republican Party.” writes Aftonbladet.
Read also: Professor cautions: it’s not impossible for Trump to cling to power
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