US elections: what if Donald Trump doesn’t leave?



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With margins so narrow and votes yet to be counted, both presidential candidates in the 2020 election spoke briefly with their supporters before going to sleep. Video / PBS / HBC

What if Donald Trump refuses to budge?

Donald Trump has repeatedly refused to commit to a peaceful transfer of power should he lose this year’s election.

With Joe Biden increasingly likely to win, taking key states onto the battlefield and predicting that he will garner enough Electoral College votes to bring victory, the spotlight is on Donald Trump’s plans to leave, with many asking whether. Can he be forced to vacate the White House and what would happen if he refused.

In September, the president was asked if he would commit to “a peaceful transfer of power” after the elections, if he lost the vote.

“Well, we’re going to have to see what happens,” Trump replied.

“You know I’ve complained a lot about the (mail) ballots. And the ballots are a mess.

“Get rid of the ballots and we will have a very peaceful one. There will be no transfer, frankly. There will be a continuation.”

“The ballots are out of control.”

The issue has come up multiple times since then, and Trump never changed his position.

With the majority now calling for the election of Biden and Trump heading to the courts, the focus is shifting to what the 45th president would do if the trials don’t go his way.

Trump wants to fight the election in court.  Photo / AP
Trump wants to fight the election in court. Photo / AP

At noon on January 20, 2021, Trump would officially lose his authority and Joe Biden would assume the role of commander-in-chief.

Even if Trump still claimed victory, he would be expelled from the White House, American academic Robert Shapiro told Live Science.

“Somebody swears [Biden] in as president. It could be the president of the Supreme Court. It could be your grandmother. At noon on the 20th [of January], is the president of the United States. The entire Secret Service depends on him, “Shapiro said.

“Donald Trump as outgoing president has a contingent of the Secret Service. Biden goes to the White House and the Secret Service escorts Trump. That’s what happens. All the civil service of the Government, all the employees of the United States report to Joe Biden at the time. “

But as historian Jonathan Gienapp pointed out last month, this depends on all government institutions (including the Secret Service) committing to respect the outcome of the election, no matter how it is decided.

“We have institutions that can be called upon to arbitrate disputes or deny illegal usurpations of power, but the safeguards that will decide matters are more political than constitutional,” he wrote.

“It may be up to elected political leaders, as happened in 1876-77, to come to some kind of compromise. Or, if necessary, the people will have to exercise their fundamental right to assemble and protest in an attempt to achieve a resolution.”

In other words, if some branches of government do not obey the will of the people, the people would have to stand up and demand that they do so.

It is important to note that although this fundamental social breakdown has occurred multiple times around the world, it has never occurred in the United States.

But Shapiro believes that the real problem will not come to the end and that Trump will not have to be removed by the barrel of a gun, saying that the Secret Service will likely do its duty as expected.

“That is the easiest scenario,” he told LiveScience.

“I believe that the Secret Service will report to the new president of the United States. The most difficult scenario is to get the agreed vote count and agreed voters.”

The drama erupted late at night (US time) with President Donald Trump falsely claiming victory in the presidential election, saying the result would be brought to the US Supreme Court, and declaring the vote. as ‘a fraud’. Video / CBS

And Trump’s defeat and eventual impeachment, if it occurs, will not necessarily be the last we see of the polarized president.

Steve Bannon, a former chief strategist who left the White House in 2017, told The Australian last month that “you will not see the end of Donald Trump.”

“I will make this prediction right now: If for some reason the election is stolen or Joe Biden is somehow declared the winner, Trump will announce that he will run for re-election in 2024,” he told the newspaper.

If that happens, Trump, 74, would be 78 on Election Day 2024, the same age Biden will be if he takes office next January.

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