2020 Election: Labor Low and New Zealand First in Final Poll

The last poll before the election gave Labor the upper hand, but it also gave New Zealand First a new hope of surviving in Parliament.

In the Newshub Reid Research poll, Labor received 45.8 percent support, down 4.3 percent. National received 31.1 percent, an increase of 1.5 percent.

But NZ First is up 3.5 percent, up from 1.6 percent previously.

The law is 7.4 percent, 1.1 percent more. While the Green Party fell to 6.3 percent, down 0.2 percent.

Translating into House seats, Labor would have 61, National 41, Act 9 and the Greens 8.

As for the preferred prime minister, Jacinda Ardern is at 52.6 percent, 0.6 percentage points lower, while Judith Collins is at 18.4 percentage points plus 0.7.

In the referendum questions, support for the end-of-life choice was 56.1%, while support was not 33.4%.

In the referendum on cannabis, 55.6 percent said no, while 38.3 percent said yes.

Before the poll was released, Newshub’s political editor, Tova O’Brien, has called her “the last to bite her nails.”

The latest Reid-Research poll conducted in late September indicated that the Labor Party was able to form a majority on its own, at 50.1 percent, while the National had 29.6 percent.

Act was at 6.3%, the Green Party at 6.5% and NZ First at 1.9%.

It comes a day after the campaign’s last 1 News Colmar Brunton poll, which had Labor comfortably ahead but just shy of the majority: it would need the Green Party to rule.

That poll had Labor at 46 percent, one percentage point down, while Nationals were at 31 percent, also one percentage point down.

Act was flat at 8 percent, the Greens were up two percentage points to 8 percent and NZ First was up two points to 3 percent.

The poll follows a week into the election campaign in which Labor leader Jacinda Ardern filled her schedule with “walks” and urged supporters to give Labor as strong a mandate as possible, while national leader Judith Collins encouraged national supporters not to split their votes by supporting Actuar or NZ First.

Collins has also spoken of so-called “quiet New Zealanders” holding their cards close to their chests, referring to Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s defiant victory in the Australian elections. Morrison had attributed it to the “quiet Australians.”

In the final TVNZ debate last night, Ardern made a shameless play for the soft votes of the National Party, speaking directly to people who had not voted for the Labor Party before to do so this time to make sure he could easily advance policies to address the Covid-19.