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Labor support has remained at 47 percent in the latest 1 News Colmar Brunton poll, while National has dropped one point to 32 percent.
The law also remains at 8 percent, while the Greens have fallen to 6, close to the 5 percent threshold.
NZ First is up as much as 2 percent, but still well below the 5 percent threshold despite leader Winston Peters’ predictions of a “surge.”
With these numbers, Labor would be one seat away from governing alone.
Labor leader Jacinda Ardern’s popularity has taken a 4 percent hit, putting her at a 50 percent rating on Prime Minister’s preferred bets compared to Judith Collins, who is flat at 23 percent. .
Ardern said she was watching the polls “but I’m pretty happy with those numbers.”
Collins said he believed it was still anyone’s career.
Green Party co-leader James Shaw said figures show there is a risk that one party may form a government alone.
Thirteen percent of the voters surveyed were still undecided or did not say how they would vote.
According to the results of the poll, National would have 41 seats in Parliament, up from 54 today. Labor would be 60.
The poll sampled 1,007 voters between October 3-7 and has a 3.1% margin of error.
The percentage figures have changed little since the last survey a week ago.
The previous poll on September 28 showed that Labor could no longer rule alone, but could form a coalition with the Greens.
It showed that Labor was in 47 percent of the party’s votes, National 33, Act 8, Greens 7 and NZ First fighting for survival with 1%.
The latest poll comes after a rough week for national leader Judith Collins.
There was an embarrassing leak of an email from National MP Denise Lee, in which she described Collins’ new local government policy as a “nightmare” and criticized the party culture under her new leader.
That put Collins on the defensive ahead of the third leaders’ debate in Christchurch, which was deemed to have lost to Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern.
She followed that with an awkward walk in Ponsonby, in which she was turned away at a store and met with party supporters posing as members of the public.
Collins was also in defensive mode after being accused of politicizing her faith by praying in front of the cameras at a church before casting her vote on the weekend.
These events overshadowed National’s big economic announcement, in which it promised to create at least 10,000 jobs per month and bring unemployment back to 4 percent by 2025.
Meanwhile, Ardern was able to announce, as Prime Minister, that the community transmission of Covid-19 had been contained and Auckland could join the rest of the country at alert level 1.
He drew large crowds on his visits to Nelson, Lyttelton, and Dunedin.
Labor unveiled its climate change policy yesterday, saying it would replace coal-fired boilers with electric alternatives, decarbonize the entire public transportation bus fleet by 2035, and introduce an energy-efficient “clean car” standard.
The policy was criticized by Labor’s ruling partner, the Greens, who said it was too weak to meet New Zealand’s international emissions obligations.
NZ First leader Winston Peters unveiled his law and order policy this week, which included 1,000 new police officers, increased protection for first responders and legislation to criminalize “cowardly hitting” and “ruthless acts of violence.”