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Nine days before Election Day, National has fallen slightly, while Labor has held steady in Colmar Brunton’s latest poll.
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The workforce remained stable at 47 percent, while the National one fell by one percent to 32. Source: 1 NEWS
The results leave a gap of 15% between the two parties.
The Labor Party continues to see strong party support in the poll, its 47% result unwavering from last week. But he would still need the help of the Greens to rule based on these numbers.
National saw a slight drop, dropping 1% to 32%, meaning it would win 41 seats in Parliament to Labor’s 60.
ACT won 8%, giving it 11 seats if these poll results are repeated in the election results.
The Green Party continues to stagger near the threshold, falling from 1% to 6%, which would give the party eight seats.
1 NEWS Results of the survey Colmar Brunton. Source: 1 NEWS
NZ First rose to 2% support, as did The Opportunities Party (TOP), while New Conservative and Advance NZ remained at 1% each.
The Maori Party was down to just 0.2% support.
Support for the party:
Labor Party: 47% (no change in the past week)
National Party: 32% (down 1%)
ACT: 8% (No change)
Green Party: 6% (down 1%)
New Zealand first: two% (up to 1%)
The feast of opportunities: two% (up to 1%)
New conservator: one% (No change)
Advance New Zealand: one% (No change)
Don’t know / Refuse: 13% (up to 2%)
October 3, 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll result of support for the party as seats in Parliament. Source: 1 NEWS
Allocation of parliamentary seats according to the results of the surveys:
Labor Party: 60
National Party: 41
ACT match: eleven
Green Party: 8
Labor leader Jacinda Ardern has had a 4% drop as PM of choice since the Sept. 28 poll, but is still doubling that of Judith Collins.
Ardern is now at 50% as the preferred PM, while Collins is stable at 23%.
This is the first drop in Ardern’s preferred PM ratings since it fell to 54% in June.
Jacinda Ardern: fifty% (down 4%)
Judith Collins: 2. 3% (no change in the past week)
David Seymour: two% (No change)
Winston Peters: one% (No change)
Don’t know / Refuse to answer: 17% (Until 3%)
October 3, 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton’s poll preferred PM’s results. Source: 1 NEWS
ACT’s David Seymour is still at 2%, while NZ First leader Winston Peters remains at 1%.
14% of the respondents did not know who their preferred PM was and 3% refused to answer.
Despite National’s 32% result, Collins remained confident.
“I think we have a real opportunity,” he said.
“It’s still anyone’s career, the key is undecided voters.”
Ardern said that with the Labor result of 47%, she still wouldn’t be complacent.
“People are also looking for unity, particularly at times like this and I don’t think anyone wants to see distractions except a full focus on people’s recovery,” he said today from Dunedin.
On his 4% drop as PM of choice, Ardern said he tried not to notice those numbers.
He said he would “always keep an eye on him, but I’m certainly happy with those numbers.”
Collins told 1 NEWS that it was “really clear … we’ve had to deal with a bit this week, as well as (a) bit of distraction.”
A leaked email this week by MP Denise Lee was highly critical of Collins, with National using his followers to pose as members of the public during a walk through Auckland.
See survey of September 28 here
See survey of September 22 here
See July survey here
View the June survey here
View the May survey here
Between October 3-7, 2020, 1,007 eligible voters were surveyed by landline (405) or mobile phone (602). The maximum sampling error is approximately ± 3.1% points at the 95% confidence level. For party support, the percentages have been rounded up or down to whole numbers.
The data has been weighted to align with Stats NZ population counts by age, sex, region, ethnicity, and access to mobile or landlines.
