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ANALYSIS: The latest 1News Colmar Brunton poll has given Judith Collins’ National Party a boost, but the Greens, who are the highest in the polls, are causing concern in the center-right party amid fears that some of its new voters They can go over to the Labor Party to prevent the Greens from having power in a new government.
The increase in the Green Party’s share of the vote in the latest poll – 7 percent – combined with Labor’s drop to 47 percent of the vote, means that if elections were held today, Labor would require the Greens to rule . The poll showed NZ First with an abysmal 1 percent, a far cry from returning to Parliament.
While this sounds like good news for National (his share of the vote increased marginally to 33 percent and Collins’s rose to 23 percent in the preferred prime minister stakes), some within National are now concerned about the rise of the Green.
BRADEN FASTIER / Nelson Mail
The poll may have given National Party leader Judith Collins a boost, but there are fears she is still a long way from forming a government.
Some party sources spoken by Stuff He expressed concern that while National’s performance has improved, it is still nowhere near being able to form a government. That could mean that some of the national voters could vote tactically for Labor to try to stop the Greens.
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With 47 percent of the party’s votes, enough for 59 seats in parliament, it is the first poll since the shutdown to show that Labor would need help to govern.
That help would come in the form of the Greens, with 7 percent, giving them eight seats.
Screenshot of TVNZ / Things
Labor leader Jacinda Ardern and national leader Judith Collins square off in the first leaders’ debate. (Screenshot from TVNZ broadcast)
ACT was also a strong driver in Monday’s poll, scoring 8 percent, enough to bring 10 MPs to Parliament.
The poll showed minnow parties struggling to perform – the New Tories, TOP, the Maori party and Advance New Zealand each got just 1 percent.
The Maori party would not have been happier after a separate Maori television poll last night that showed the party far behind in the Te Tai Hauāuru electorate seat.
Monday’s poll also appeared to confirm a slow downward trend in Labor polls from the meteoric heights it reached the previous year, although it still seems unlikely that it will drop enough to challenge a National-ACT coalition.
Ardern was also far ahead as the preferred prime minister, at 54 percent.
Collins rose 5 points to 23 percent.
ACT’s David Seymour was next with 2%, followed by NZ First’s Winston Peters with 1%.
It’s only been a week since the last 1News Colmar Brunton poll.
That poll had the Labor Party at 50.1 percent, 10.8 points less than its last poll.
Nacional rose 4.5 points to 29.6 percent. The Greens were the next biggest game at 6.5 percent, up 0.8 points, and ACT followed closely with 6.3 percent, up 3 points.
