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A decline in support for Labor has led to a surge in support for minor parties, and while Labor could still rule alone, National continues to falter.
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Meanwhile, several smaller parties saw increases in support. Source: 1 NEWS
Latest 1 NEWS Poll by Colmar Brunton sees a 5% drop in support for the Labor Party since the last poll in late July; now they are sitting at 48%.
Nacional falls slightly to 31%.
The results will be presented to party leaders Jacinda Ardern and Judith Collins tonight during the First Live Leaders Debate on TVNZ1 and 1News.co.nz at 7 pm.
ACT has continued to garner support up to 7%, which translates to nine seats in Parliament.
The party last had nine MPs after the 1999 and 2002 elections, and leader David Seymour has been the party’s only MP since 2014.
The Green Party has also recovered from staggering on the threshold, sitting at 6%, which would be enough to see them return to Parliament.
Other minor parties have also seen a rise, with New Conservative rising by as much as 2%, The Opportunities Party (TOP) gaining traction by as much as 1% and Advance NZ making an appearance by 1%.
In the Preferred Prime Minister rankings, Ardern is stable at 54%, a number that has not changed since June. Collins fell 2% to 18%.
Party support
Labor Party – 48% (5% less)
National Party – 31% (down 1%)
ACT – 7% (up to 2%)
Green Party – 6% (up to 1%)
New Zealand first – two%
New conservator – two%
The feast of opportunities – one% (up to 1%)
Maori Party – one%
Advance New Zealand – one% (up to 1%)
Don’t know / Refused – 14%
Allocation of parliamentary seats according to the results of these surveys
Labor Party 62
National Party 41
ACT match 9
Green Party 8
Ardern said she was satisfied with the Labor result. “Regardless, we will not be complacent.”
She said they were “working very hard to win votes and the trust of the voters, particularly in our ongoing response around Covid because that’s where the minds of many voters are currently.”
National leader Judith Collins was preparing for the Leaders’ Debate tonight and the party did not immediately respond to the poll results.
It is Colmar Brunton’s first 1 NEWS poll since the second wave of Covid-19 hit Auckland and since the delayed election date of October 17 was announced.
It ran from last Thursday until last night; During that time, GDP figures were released confirming New Zealand was in recession, National promised to temporarily cut income tax, Labor promised to double sick leave, and Labor pointed to a $ 4 billion hole in the income tax. National’s debt target a few hours before the party’s virtual launch.
National leader Judith Collins was preparing for the Leaders’ Debate tonight, but Rep. Gerry Brownlee told 1 NEWS National she was neither disappointed nor deterred by the outcome.
“The country has been very focused on the Covid-19 response, it was only in the last day that we started to get out of that and, as we do, there will be a greater focus on how the economy will look like during the next three years.” , said.
“Each poll will have a snapshot of what people are seeing at the time, but its reception with the public is quite good and we are happy with that.”
ACT’s David Seymour said his match’s results were “very encouraging and encourage ACT to campaign even harder.”
James Shaw of the Green Party said he expected a Labor-green government, in case the poll results were similar to the election results.
Winston Peters again described the poll as “silly” and added, “If you want to keep making yourself look stupid, that’s your problem.”
Preferred prime minister
Jacinda Ardern is stable at 54%, a figure that has not changed since June.
Judith Collins fell 2% to 18%. She had previously been at 20% in her first 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll as leader of the National Party in July.
David Seymour has 2%, along with NZ First frontman Winston Peters.
Fourteen percent of those surveyed did not know who their preferred PM was, the lowest result in recent polls.
Jacinda Ardern: 54% (stable)
Judith Collins: 18% (2% less)
Winston Peters: two% (up to 1%)
David Seymour: two% (up to 1%)
View the May survey here
View the June survey here
See July survey here
Between September 17 and 21, 2020, 1,008 eligible voters were surveyed by landline (405) and mobile phone (603). The maximum sampling error is approximately ± 3.1% points at the 95% confidence level. Results greater than and less than 50% have a smaller sampling error. For party support, the percentages have been rounded up or down to whole numbers.
The data has been weighted to align with Stats NZ population counts by age, sex, region, ethnicity, and access to mobile or landlines.
