‘Track well’: data expert predicts Donald Trump will win US election



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“It’s really a coin toss. I think Florida, right now, is a coin toss, but Trump is ahead.”

Professor Stantic assumes that Trump will not win the popular vote, which Clinton also won in 2016.

“However, it is tracking very well in the crucial states,” he told the news website.

“Florida is a coin toss, but he’s a little ahead for me. And Minnesota and Pennsylvania too.

“And then Texas will win easily.”

Some experts believe that the election outcome will be decided by monitoring the economy, as well as other impacts of COVID-19.

“This choice will be decided by the economy and what is happening on the streets of America,” said Allan Lichtman, founding director of the MIT Election Data and Science Laboratory.

“The pandemic itself can turn two other keys. So while the pandemic itself is not a key, through the triggering effect, it could figure very heavily in the final prediction,” Lichtman told ABC.

Trump secured the presidency in the 2016 election by winning the major states of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Florida by small margins.

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