2020 election: National below 30 percent in new poll, Labor party could rule alone



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National leader

Fiona Goodall / Getty Images

National leader

With just three weeks to go, Nationals are below 30 percent of the party’s votes in a new poll, while Labor could rule alone.

A new Newshub / Reid Research poll showed that the Labor Party fell 10 points from a massive high of 60 percent in July to 50.1 percent.

National had obtained 4.5 points of support since July, but still had no chance of taking on the government with only 29.6%.

However, a defeat may not spell the end of Judith Collins as national leader, and Collins says Newshub she wouldn’t quit in the event of a loss.

Collins described the July Newshub poll as “dishonest” when it was published.

In those numbers, Labor could rule with only a majority.

Meanwhile, both the Greens and ACT would re-enter Parliament, with 6.5 percent and 6.3 percent respectively.

If the voting results of these parties were repeated on Election Day, Labor would have 65 seats, four more than the 61-seat majority needed to govern.

Nacional would have 39 while ACT and the Greens would each have 8.

As a right-wing bloc, National and ACT would be 14 seats out of the 61 needed to govern, while the left-wing Labor and Greens bloc would hold 83 seats.

NZ First was at 1.9 percent, behind the New Conservatives at 2.1 percent.

When it came to the prime minister’s preferred bets, Labor leader Jacinda Ardern had taken a hit again, but remained dominant: a drop of 8.8 points to 53.2 percent. Collins rose 3.1 points to 17.7 percent.

These survey results follow slightly more favorable national figures in the 1 News / Colmar Brunton poll released last week, which had National at 31 percent and Labor at 48 percent.

the Newshub / Reid Research The survey was conducted between September 16 and 23, while the 1 News / Colmar Brunton the survey was conducted from September 17 to 21.

The Newshub period included the release of National’s fiscal policy and a heated debate on Collins’ performance, but also the discovery of fiscal gaps in National’s proposed budget.

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