2020 election: Labor, national slippage, Green minor parties, New Zealand first – 1 News Colmar Brunton poll

The major parties have slipped in the latest poll with Labor unable to form an independent government.

Labor is at 46 percent, one percentage point down, while national is at 31 percent, also one percentage point down, in 1 News Colmar Brunton’s poll tonight.

Act is flat at 8 percent, Greens rose two percentage points to 8 percent and NZ First rose two points to 3 percent.

Collins vs Ardern: follow live updates of tonight’s final leaders debate

The New Conservative Party is at 2% and TOP, Advance NZ and the Maori Party are all at 1%.

The Labor Party could not form a government on its own and would need the support of the Greens, in the latest figures.

The numbers translate to 59 seats for the Labor Party, 11 for the Greens, 40 for the National and 10 for the Law. NZ First would not return to Parliament without winning a seat in the electorate, as they remain below the threshold of 5 percent.

The poll showed that 15 percent were still undecided or would not say how they would vote.

In the Prime Minister’s preferred bets, Labor leader Jacinda Ardern is at 55 per cent (an increase of 5), Judith Collins of National at 20 per cent (a decrease of 3) and David Seymour of Act at 3 per cent. cent (an increase of 1).

Ardern told 1 News she was pleased with the continued support Labor has had.

Regarding individual performance, 74 percent approved of Ardern’s performance as prime minister, while 45 percent approved of Judith Collins’s performance as leader of the National Party.

Greens co-leader Marama Davidson said she was “encouraged” by the poll’s result.

NZ First leader Winston Peters has said there is a “surge” of support for his party.

Seymour also said the poll’s result was “encouraging.”

“But we are going to play hard until the final whistle.”

On the referendum on euthanasia, the poll showed that 60 percent support the end-of-life election bill, while 33 percent oppose it.

On the legalization of cannabis for recreational use, there was 41% support for the cannabis legalization and control bill, while 51% opposed it.

The results of the referendum will not be published until the end of October.

The survey was conducted between October 10 and 14 and had 1,005 respondents, with a margin of error of 3.1 percent.

It occurs when 1.56 million early votes have already been cast before 2:00 p.m. today, representing 46 percent of all registered voters.

Ardern and Collins were in Auckland today preparing for the debate tonight.

The campaign has been dominated this week with talks about the Greens’ proposed wealth tax, which Ardern scrapped yesterday while she is prime minister.

It’s the same commitment you’ve made by waiving a capital gains tax (CGT) and keeping the retirement eligibility age at 65.

Polls have shown that Labor has a big lead over National since Covid-19 hit New Zealand, while National has stalled in the low 30s.

In July, with the country at Level 1 and before the second Covid-19 outbreak, 1 News Colmar Brunton’s poll had Labor at 53 percent and Nationals at 32 percent, while the Green Party and the Law was at 5 percent and NZ First was at 2 percent.

Labor fell to 48 percent in the 1 News Colmar Brunton poll on Sept. 22, while National was at 31 percent, Act at 7 percent, Greens at 6 percent, and NZ First at 2 percent. hundred.

Six days later, with National at 33% and Act at 8%, the National Act bloc had gained 3 percentage points, while Labor, at 47%, could no longer govern alone. The Greens were at 7 percent and NZ First at 1 percent.

The most recent 1 News Colmar Brunton poll before tonight was a week ago, and Labor was flat at 47 percent, while National had dropped one point to 32 percent.

Act also held steady at 8 percent, Greens fell to 6 percent and NZ First at 2 percent.

Ardern was far ahead in PM’s preferred stakes at 50 percent, more than doubled by Judith Collins at 23 percent, although the gap had narrowed by 7 percentage points since July, when Collins became National’s leader. .

Earlier today, Collins said he didn’t think the polls were accurate as there seemed to be so many undecided voters.

“The polls have been wrong in Australia, in the UK, in the US. They will be wrong here too.”