2020 election: Labor moves ahead in latest poll, but would need the Greens to rule



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Labor is still far ahead in the latest TVNZ-Colmar Brunton poll, which shows the party at 47 percent, one point less than in last week’s poll, and gives it 59 seats.

National has risen to 33 percent, 2 points more than in last week’s poll.

The great news is that this is the first recent poll to show that Labor needs help to form a government. He could not rule alone.

The Greens, at 7 percent, 1 point higher, would be obvious partners in the Labor coalition.

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Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and National Leader Judith Collins during their first television debate.

Fiona Goodall / Getty Images

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and National Leader Judith Collins during their first television debate.

ACT is a strong driver in Monday’s poll, scoring 8 percent, enough to bring 10 MPs to Parliament.

NZ First would be out of Parliament with 1 percent.

The poll showed minnow parties struggling to perform – the New Tories, TOP, the Maori party and Advance New Zealand each got just 1 percent.

It’s only been a week since the last TVNZ-Colmar Brunton poll.

But they say a week is a long time in politics, and a week is an especially long period during an election campaign.

Labor leader Jacinda Ardern and national leader Judith Collins have had a busy few days since the last poll was conducted.

The two leaders met in the first leaders debate on Tuesday night.

Sunday night also saw the release of another poll, from Newshub Reid-Research.

That poll had the Labor Party at 50.1 percent, 10.8 points less than its last poll.

Nacional rose 4.5 points to 29.6 percent.

The Greens were the next biggest game at 6.5 percent, up 0.8 points, and ACT followed closely with 6.3 percent, up 3 points.

That seemed to confirm a slow downward trend in Labor polls from the meteoric heights it reached this year, though it still seems unlikely that it will fall enough to challenge a National-ACT coalition.

Ardern is also far ahead as the preferred prime minister, at 54 percent. Collins rose 5 points to 23 percent.

ACT’s David Seymour is next with 2%, followed by NZ First’s Winston Peters with 1%.

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