2020 election: Labor moves ahead in latest poll, but needs the Greens to rule



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Labor is still way ahead in the latest TVNZ-Colmar Brunton poll, which shows the party won 47 percent, one point less than in last week’s poll, giving it 59 seats.

Nacional has managed to climb to 33 percent, 2 points more than in last week’s survey, and giving party

The great news is that this is the first recent poll to show that Labor needs help if they form a government; they could not rule alone.

The Greens, at 7 percent, 1 point higher, would be obvious partners in the Labor coalition.

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ACT is a strong engine in the poll, scoring 8 percent, enough to bring 10 MPs to Parliament.

NZ First would be out of Parliament with 1 percent.

The poll showed minnow parties struggling to perform – the New Tories, TOP, the Maori party and Advance New Zealand got just 1 percent.

It’s only been a week since the last TVNZ-Colmar Brunton poll.

But they say a week is a long time in politics, and a week is an especially long period during an election campaign.

Labor leader Jacinda Ardern and national leader Judith Collins have had a busy week since the last poll was conducted. The two leaders met in the first leaders debate on Tuesday night.

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and National Leader Judith Collins.

Ross Giblin and Robert Kitchin / Stuff

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and National Leader Judith Collins.

Sunday night also saw the release of another Newshub Reid-Research poll.

This poll had Labor at 50.1 percent, 10.8 points less than its last poll.

Nacional rose 4.5 points to 29.6 percent.

The Greens were the next biggest game with 6.5 percent to 0.8 points, followed closely by ACT with 6.3 percent to 3 points.

This appears to confirm a trend for Labor polls to slowly fall from the meteoric heights they had reached this year, although it seems unlikely that it will fall enough to challenge a National-ACT coalition.

Ardern is still far ahead as the preferred prime minister, at 54 percent. Collins rose 5 points to 23 percent.

ACT’s David Seymour is next with 2%, followed by NZ First’s Winston Peters with 1%.

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