More than 20 million ballots were cast in 45 states and DC, according to a survey of ballot data by CNN, Addison Research and Catalyst.
As of Friday, the ballot is available in all 50 states and DC. Of the more than 1 million ballots cast for the presidency in 2001, about 1% represent the votes cast so far, although experts predict a turnout this year.
Democrats lead Republicans in the ballots cast in each of CNN’s major states, for which party data is available, according to Catalyst, providing data, analytics and other services to data companies, Democrats and nonprofit advocacy organizations. Catalyst has analyzed more than 16 million ballots cast so far in 36 states.
In Pennsylvania, Democrats have more than three-quarters of the vote cast so far. They have a 20-point lead in Florida and a 32-point lead in North Carolina.
None of these states have seen dramatic changes in party disruption this week, but Florida margins have narrowed very little (about two points) in the past week, so we’ll keep seeing if.
Here is an insight into the two main states that candidates are campaigning for today:
Florida: After his townhall last night, President Trump woke up in Florida, where he will comment on seniors and then rally this afternoon. Trump boosted Sunshine State by just over one percent in 2016.
The Catalyst data analyzed so far shows that the number of ballots already cast in Florida has more than doubled since four years ago.
The Florida Democrats have a big lead against Republicans in the ballot return so far and half of all pre-election votes. This is in stark contrast to the four years ago when the Republicans returned their share of the vote two years ago, led by Democrats from Dem to% to 0%.
The ethnic composition of Florida’s early voting voters has changed somewhat since 2016, with white voters already making up a small proportion of voters and black voters a small majority. At this point four years ago, 77% of white voters were early voters; They now represent 72%. Black voters, meanwhile, have increased their share of the early 2016 vote from 8% to 11% today. Hispanic voters make up about 12% of those already voting in Florida compared to 2016 levels.
Michigan: On Friday, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden left for Michigan for campaigning. Trump was the first Republican to carry Wolverine State in the post-1988 presidential election, defeating Hillary Clinton by less than half a percentage point.
In mid-2018, Michigan voters passed a ballot that would allow any registered voter in the state to vote by mail without an excuse. That was a big change since 2016, and the difference in early voting between the two elections is obvious.
About times this year compared to the 2016 issue. times more Michigans and NDRs have voted, according to Catalyst data, the biggest changes are evident in looking at early voters based on age.
At this point four years ago, already 83% of voters were 65 or older. Now, those voters cast only 53% of the early voters. In every other age group before this stage, the pre-election vote share is higher than at this stage in 2001, but the largest increase was with 50-6464 voters, up from 11% four years ago and now 25%.
The racial fragmentation of early voting voters in Michigan has changed little since 2016 at this stage. White White% of Michigan voters are white, down from 88% four years ago. Black voters are second with 11% (slightly higher than 9% four years ago). Hispanic and Asian voters, who make up 2% of the electorate so far, have both been on the same issue since 2016.
Notably, this racial divide is still more white than Michigan’s final voter in 2016. According to exit polls, 75% of Michigan voters were white, 15% black and 5% Latino.
Take a look at the numbers: