What have we learned from the Sabah surveys?



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YOUR OPINION | “Perhaps, this country may have seen the last of a government that has a two-thirds majority.”

COMMENT | Why Warisan Plus Lost: A Preliminary Analysis

The Wakandan: Some good points of Malaysiakini Columnist Bridget Welsh’s analysis:

1. The Warisan Plus parties lacked solid machinery, especially in rural areas. BN has the advantage of having a good machine that involved most of the people in the constituency. This makes any new candidate / party appear to be there only for the election.

2. There was disappointment among some Warisan Plus supporters in terms of inadequate deliverables by the Warisan government. Again, a strong BN point. Pakatan Harapan is unpopular in rural areas because his rule did not translate into immediate profits while almost everyone is connected to the BN through contracts, businesses, and scholarships.

3. KDM (Kadazan Dusun Murut) continues to suspect Warisan Plus due to illegal immigrant issues, linked to long-standing ethnic suspicions involving disempowerment and displacement, a long-standing mistrust that cannot be resolved in the short term.

4. Strong personal ties to the candidates, shaped in part by ethnic loyalties, a pattern that largely favored Gagasan Rakyat Sabah (GRS), except in the stronghold of Warisan leader Shafie Apdal on the east coast.

One surprising fact is KDM’s Christian distrust of the Bajau Muslims. This does not bode well for Sabah, as it leads to a broader trend of polarization.

FairMalaysian: The politics of Sabah and Sarawak is quite different from what is spoken in the peninsula.

Of course, the policy has to be divisive but the variables, the derivatives and their deliveries are different. With the mainland parties making deeper inroads into Sabah, it will be to much dismay that divisive factors, particularly race, have begun to emerge as footprints.

Sabah, I mean Sabah politics, it has been both a headache and a headache that had essentially been maintained to rescue Malay politics, in particular peninsular politics. In these, politicians and people are the losers.

The politics of the peninsula differ: the dominant factor here will be the race and religion of one group and the good governance / corruption concerns of the other.

Between these two dominant groups, the bait of race and religion is clearly identified with the majority of Malays, while good governance and concerns about corruption have followers of the three main races.

There has been a drop among the Chinese in support for the DAP and a lot has been written about this. What the DAP should know is that a bird in the hand is worth two in the jungle. You shouldn’t make the same mistake Umno did.

Unlike the euphoria that Perikatan / Muafakat Nasional and BN are showing, waiting for the victory in Sabah to be repeated on the peninsula, they will be surprised.

Even in Sabah, elections for federal seats can take a different turn, unlike the results of recent state elections.

Amanah is too weak and has been largely ignored by the Malaysian electorate. DAP has seen a decline recently due to its affinity with former Prime Minister Dr. Mahathir Mohamad and the “MCA type” politics.

That doubt persists, and rather than looking for additional treatises, it will be wise to retain what is already available and then build on that.

PKR is certainly not GE’s PKR 2018. It needs to bring younger leaders like Rafizi Ramli and Nurul Izzah to the fore. Ignore this to your detriment.

Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin and Bersatu probably know that it was with Umno in the background that he managed to win seats in Sabah.

Discontent has been brewing within Umno about this and there seem to be growing voices that Umno is strong enough to stand alone with his original coalition partners, as that will give him the leadership and control he always had and give him. would like to revive.

Perhaps, this country may have seen the last of a government with a two-thirds majority. The concern of the moment is how a party can carry with it the interests of all races.

The toxic politics of race and religion have done incalculable damage and politicians are not at all concerned about what the future Malaysia will be like if this continues.

No one has the will or the courage to rattle that cat, but that profound psychological impact has ravaged the country like never before and turned the clock back on our progress. The wake-up call should be to ban parties based on race and religion and make it a crime to seek votes on the basis of race and religion.

Of course, we never had a government that really made “unity” its core belief, as it may not get votes.

The PAS will not survive for a second if it chooses to abandon racial / religious politics and instead tells Malaysians how it can uplift Malaysians financially. It has built its entire political structure on the basis of race and religion and this would unequivocally mean pitting different races against each other.

While much of my hope has been dissipated, I may be relying heavily on the politics of the younger generation to reset and change the course of the current political train.

Dr. Dani: Don’t forget the other factor, unfulfilled promises to ordinary people who (combined) represent more than 15 percent of Sabahans.

These are very, very simple people. Simpler than the people of Kampungs. These people, between the outer forest and the deep forest, do not expect or want much. They may not be able to contribute much either. But they have the power to decide who to take care of their very little well-being.

This was where Warisan failed. BN has been successful because they had gone into the deepest jungle attending to these little needs for many years.

IndigoOtter9291: In fact, this is a good idea of ​​what had happened despite some expectations that Warisan Plus would win in the state elections.

This should be a good lesson for Warisan Plus on the importance of mobilizing your supporters and not forgetting, keep improving your service to the rakyat.

As the saying goes, empty ships make the loudest, so Warisan Plus should focus more on serving the people and also perfecting their electoral strategies and how they could overcome the ‘cash is king’ tactic. used by the opposing coalition to buy from the poor and the hearts of the socially disadvantaged, especially when Covid-19 has impacted everyone, no matter where you live.

YellowFish9545: It seems that Sabah is destined to be like Sarawak: a paper-rich state but with shabby infrastructure and development.

I suppose they should blame themselves for not choosing their government wisely. Instead of climbing trees for a better internet, the new government will solve the problem immediately by providing everyone with a ladder …

YOURS | Sabahans lost the boat for a real change


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