Will Macron get a regional-international mandate for him?



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Kuwaiti “Al Rai” indicated that everyone expects US President Joe Biden to take office next Wednesday.

This is how the world looks on the eve of the transfer of the reins of power in the United States from Donald Trump to his successor, with a “muffled boil” that reigns in the region to face this transition and the subsequent exposition of how the new US administration treats the different “fields of fire”.

While the lenses are diagnosed globally at Biden’s inauguration tomorrow, the waiting situation in Lebanon is no different than in other countries, with the difference that the “country of cedars”, by virtue of the higher standard of Hezbollah influence, it has become one of the most affected by events in the grinding conflict in the region.

The interconnection between the Lebanese reality and the fate of the parallel movement of hot plates in the region from before the US elections until later reached the point of internal recognition that the formation of the new government, which is considered a mandatory transit bridge to the Arab and international communities, in their terms, to provide vital financial support to Beirut, is suspended over volcanoes. The region is part of Iran’s strategy of “activating crisis” in its spheres of influence to fight Biden from a position of power formed by the deployment of “control and control”, either to confirm the “separation of tracks” in the negotiations, which began with “initials” between Washington and Tehran, and are expected to crystallize their features and foundations, respectively. Or to prepare the ground for concessions that protect the “role” that Tehran has played in the wings of the nuclear archive.

Political sources believe through “Al-Rai” that the situation in the “country of cedars” in turn, after Biden received the keys to the White House, will witness a crystallization of the direction that their intertwined crises will take. , pointing out that even Paris, which has waned its support for the Lebanese dossier, through its initiative to form a government of specialists that implements a strict book of reforms. It seemed as if he was walking away from a Lebanese woman who was waiting for an American to “turn the page.”

According to sources, France, whose initiative was greeted with an American “orange light” since its inception, was hit twice by the explosion of two “mines”, first through sanctions that overthrew the mandate of Ambassador Mustafa Adib and included to former ministers Ali Hassan Khalil and Youssef Fenianos, and secondly by punishing the president. The Free Patriotic Movement »Gebran Bassil, in a development that sowed a field of thorns in the path of President-designate Saad Hariri’s mission.

Sources indicate that French President Emmanuel Macron is definitely waiting if he will get a mandate from Biden, so his initiative to organize the phase of pulling Lebanon out of financial collapse exacerbates the risks of the Crown “invasion”, which Beirut is facing. trying to repel with the easy while waiting for the arrival of vaccines from mid-February, although Other circles are convinced that any US mandate will be only “half the picture”, given that the deciding factor It remains for Iran’s position, and whether it will concede a French role in one of the scenarios in which it believes it has invested and reaped fruits throughout its strategic expansion in the heart of the shattered maps.

How these circles met with the conviction that prevailed the day before yesterday about the outbreak of diplomatic disputes between Paris and Tehran over the nuclear negotiations and their agenda, considering that it is an early “veto” regarding the ceilings of the negotiations with Washington , as well as any leniency towards France handing over an advanced position on the Lebanese situation. It will remain in a “void” stage despite all internal calls, the last of which was from the Maronite Patriarch, Mar Bechara Boutros, the patron of President Michel Aoun, to take the initiative and invite Hariri to something like a “meeting to wash hearts”.

Al-Awsat asked him not to overlook, in the context of addressing the Lebanese reality and its horizons, the continuation of the Gulf’s “red eye” on Beirut and any reestablishment of the stages of association with “Hezbollah” in governments in the that he and his allies would have the upper hand, considering that this aspect of the government record will continue to be serious. Influence the limits of progress and regression in which the designated president moves, independently of the negotiations between the United States and Iran, which this time will face suprastrategic transformations in the region formed by the “peace role.”

Source: Kuwaiti Rai



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