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But is it okay to continue releasing the second cycle of licenses in these circumstances? Specialized sources conclude that many factors lead to the belief that it is not in Lebanon’s current interest to run the licensing cycle, in order to avoid the possibility of not attracting companies or due to the possibility of making unfair offers against Lebanon. The most prominent of these factors are:
– The collapse of oil prices, which contributed to the reduction of large companies in their investment budgets, thus threatening the failure of the tender.
The exploration process in Block No. 4 has been completed, and the excavated well has been dry.
The Cabinet allows applications to be submitted electronically to participate in oil exploration.
The spread of the crown contributed to the stagnation of world economies.
Contrary to this view, and against the belief that the postponement may be beneficial, and may later lead to better offers, the Ministry of Energy considers that any further delay will be a declaration of the non-seriousness of the Lebanese state , especially after the tender was postponed twice.
Energy Minister Raymond Ghajar says a risk analysis was conducted, and the ministry, as well as the Petroleum Management Authority, are aware of the negative factors, but in turn it should be noted that many companies bought the data, and it may be theirs that prepared your files and, therefore, the cancellation will cause damage to one of them.
According to the ministry, several experts on the subject were consulted, including Norwegian experts, and it was a consensus that the tender should continue, to avoid the negative impact on Lebanon’s reputation. In addition, global forecasts indicate that prices will witness a significant increase, which will return companies to the investment path.
However, fear is still the possibility of advancing a company, for example. Then, you can control the fate of exploration in the block you win, and most importantly, it will be in a position to impose its financial conditions in Lebanon. As for the worst, according to workers in the sector, it is within their guarantee to obtain the contract and wait for favorable conditions, which can last for years, to begin exploration. Disregarding the Lebanese interest.