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During the past century, only Florida was one of the main drivers of this victory for a Republican candidate. This state is considered the largest indecisive state that cannot predict the whims of its voters, in addition to being the pillar of the “Sun Belt” that extends in the south and southwest of America, where the density of population, agriculture and military industries, as well as the large number of retirees who constitute a real weight in terms of the inclination of the bracelet between one filter and another. Given its importance, the spotlight will be on Florida next Tuesday night. His electorate of 14 million, and his weighted turnout of the electorate of 29 votes, are crucial to obtaining the 270-vote majority needed in the body to reach the White House. And because state laws allow the early counting of absentee ballots, which number about six million this year compared to 2.7 million in 2016, the count is expected to be completed quickly when counties begin casting. Preliminary results in the early hours of Election Day, which means the result may be obvious by now. Sunrise next Wednesday. The main electoral institutions indicate that the victory of the Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, in this state will end the career of President Donald Trump, who, along with Florida, needs both Arizona and North Carolina in the “belt of rust.” , and to one of the major states, namely Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin. .
On the eve of the election, the battle between Trump and Biden rages as they seek to win the votes of swing voters in a handful of swing states that play a critical role in the outcome. Polls show that the Democratic nominee, the nation’s top Democrat, walks shoulder to shoulder in these states. According to a Reuters / Ipsos poll, covering the period October 14-21, he is tied with the US president in Florida (49% vs. 47%), having previously surpassed him (50% vs. 46%). ), Even if this difference falls into the survey’s margin of error. This also applies to Arizona, where Biden received 48% of potential votes, compared to 46% for Trump. If the former wins this 11-vote Electoral College status, he will become the first Democratic candidate in the presidential election to win since Bill Clinton in 1996. More voters saw Biden in a better position to deal with the Corona epidemic, 48% to 42%. While Trump received 52% support in the economy, compared to 41% for the Democratic candidate.
Polls Suggest Biden’s Florida Win Will Seal Trump’s Career
Under these two titles, the two candidates held two election rallies in Florida the day before yesterday. The US president boasted to his supporters in Tampa of the record growth rates recorded in the third quarter of this year, in which he saw an indication that the economy of his country, which was affected by the epidemic crisis, it is on the mend, warning Americans that the lockdown measures that will be imposed during the Biden era to combat the virus will eliminate. Normal life. Despite Trump’s enthusiasm, economists warn that the recovery (33.1%) in the July-September period, after declining 31.4% in the second quarter, was driven by consumer spending backed by massive $ 3 trillion government aid, and a deadline has passed. Most have since. From Broward County, Biden reminded his supporters of the importance of Florida in deciding the outcome of the election, emphasizing that it would not shut down the country, but rather “put an end to the virus.” The former vice president is far ahead among black voters (84-14), women (57-41) and independents (55-41), and is a favorite among the elderly (53-47) and who constitute a large percentage of the state electorate. Currently, the result among voters over 65 (this group, along with independents, supported Trump in 2016). The two candidates are equal among Hispanic voters (according to the Pew Research Institute, 32 million Latin Americans are eligible to vote this year). Polls show this has the final say in some swing states, be it Nevada or Arizona, or other states like Michigan and North Carolina. Facing a gathering of hundreds of his supporters in Michigan on Tuesday, Trump gave Americans a choice between “our project to kill the virus and Biden’s project to kill the American dream,” because this election is “a choice between a tremendous Trump-led recovery or a Biden-led depression. “
Like Florida, North Carolina is another swing state, with a 15-vote share of the 538-member electorate. According to the latest opinion polls showing Biden’s progress in two major states, Michigan and Wisconsin, the president’s team is still betting on Election Day, and who it calls the “silent bloc” that supports him, or “America. forgotten, “whose strength is the white working class in factories and farms. And the mining camp, which he says will vote on Tuesday. A poll by the “Washington Post” newspaper and the “ABC” news network showed that Biden stood out in the major Midwestern states, narrowly (5 points) over Trump in Michigan, but by a difference of more than 17 points in Wisconsin. And the two states, even Pennsylvania (20 votes in the electoral college), are extremely important, especially the latter, which in 2016 gave Trump the votes of his commission, despite winning 44,000 votes out of 6.1 million voters. .
War in New York
The relationship between the president of the United States, Donald Trump, and his city, New York, turned into an open war, which intensified due to the mutual attacks between him and his democratic authority, in the face of the spread of the Corona epidemic. As Tuesday approached, the president stepped up his attacks on the city, which is a democratic stronghold, describing it, in his latest debate with Democratic candidate Joe Biden, as a “ghost town” after thousands of wealthy residents they left and the office districts in it were deserted in the light of the outbreak of “Corona”. . This prompted the mayor of the city, Bill de Blasio, to respond, saying that “the only ghost town will be Maralago (Trump’s residence in Florida) where he will remain in forced retirement after the elections.”
Despite the presence of some pro-Trump “pockets” in New York, led by Staten Island and several neighborhoods in Queens and Brooklyn, the president is expected to suffer a crushing defeat, similar to what happened in 2016, when 79 % of the New York electorate voted to compete with Hillary Clinton. Since entering the White House, Trump has deliberately toughened immigration policy. New York, like other major democratic cities, has responded by declaring itself a “haven”, refusing to cooperate with the immigration policy of the US Department of Immigration and Customs Control, which led the administration to withdraw some of the federal aid from the city. . Tensions increased further with the spread of the epidemic that hit New York severely, prompting its authorities to impose a strict stone on the city, which, until now, remains subject to restrictions, raising the president’s discontent. which calls for the relaunch of the economic wheel. For months, the city mayor and the Democratic state governor have asked the president and Republicans to support city finances to make up for the shortfall in tax revenue resulting from the epidemic, without the administration responding, which may oblige authorities to limit public services.
(News, AFP)
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