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The quarter-hour meeting between Presidents Michel Aoun and Saad Hariri at the Baabda Palace overturned the balance of government. Suddenly the negatives turned into positives. No one can know where those signs that have the power to transform impressions from one state to another come from, or the secret that led them to these changes. The only constant is that those involved in the authorship issue “drank seven milks” and are on their way to celebrating!
When speaking of the anxiety broadcasts that control the authorship wall, Hariri came out to say that “it will come out in government form before Christmas.” In practice, only Hariri is responsible for his words, as if he were saying that the government is today or tomorrow at the latest. He has taken responsibility in the event he breaks his promise. In this case it is assumed that the smoke from the composition will come out within 48 hours or less, and if we were based on the conversation of the sources that surround the lively “Casa del Centro”, we would have said that the subject of authorship is complete and his supposed date of birth will take place today at the meeting No. 14 that is supposed to occur between the two presidents and whoever you think. Sources that is “the last”.
The first positive signs of a government breakout appeared at the dollar’s surface level, which gradually declined since the time of Hariri’s announcement of his position and continued overnight. This is an indicator that some have taken as a compass to indicate the severity of the indicators emanating from Baabda. However, be careful, as the experiences in such cases are not encouraging, and the positive aspects collapsed as quickly as they increased.
On the other hand, there are those who cut down on positive calories, when the level of government is filled with volleys of questions about the reasons, motives, antecedents and signs that contributed to a sudden change in the environment. Based on this, the sources conclude that the positives are “artificial” based on the absence of a single positive sign in the government environment, and as long as this is the case, the positives that Hariri declared are subject to doubt.
On the other hand, there are those who point out that the intense movement that began in more than one line and was sponsored by more than one party, spiritual, political, security and partisan, resulted in a set of results that were built from reach understandings on the issue of authorship that led to “loosening the strings and loosening the contract.” Obstructions, especially the movement of the Maronite patriarch, Cardinal Mar Beshara Boutros Al-Ra’i, the three-dimensional shuttle to Baabda, the central house, Mirna Al-Shalouhi, along with the last of his Hezbollah commanders at the house level center-back Mirna Al-Shalouhi, and a third sponsored by Major General Abbas Ibrahina, on the line.
All of this resulted in more than one thread moving in the file. On the international front, there are those who speak of the “French high pressure” that has been practiced in recent days taking advantage of the Lebanese movement. And as it was rumored by those who worked in the editorial line, the “French pressure” in turn helped to move the wheel of authorship after the activity of the Maronite Patriarch exploded, so he took advantage of the new situation and Azar Bkerke with a lobby group that took on more than one side, especially along the lines of President-designate Saad Hariri. And in the belief of those who advance in the line of composition, that “the French role came to exploit, in addition to the Lebanese domestic factor, an external factor, specifically American, related to the state of political stagnation in Washington”, so the French understood that this period is a period to reactivate their political turbines towards Beirut.
Today’s French, with the authority of those who know the subject, “take a deep breath.” What some of them trusted to happen through the visit of French President Emmanuel Macron to Beirut, and then suddenly collapsed after being infected with “Covid-19”, took place again, taking into account that this commitment to the visit did not it was presented based on clear factors. The cancellation of the visit “temporarily” spurred things on a “Lebanese initiative” and revived the French goal of motivating the Lebanese to “save their country.” Perhaps if the French president had landed in Beirut, he may not have achieved what he hopes to achieve today.
However, the fundamentals of the breakthrough discussed remain vague. At the gates of mediation, there are those who refer to a solution that the sponsor took at his graduation, which consists of drawing up a list that includes three Christian names so that the two presidents agree to choose a name from among them. In Bkerke, which is now the guarantee of government action and the guarantee not to overthrow the government.
The only constant that can be reliably spoken of now is that the Christian “fasting” duo abandoned the idea of the obstructive third party and returned to a group of three women distributed among the three main parties that represent the government structure. Instead of a third, the talk on “fair distribution and representation” that had previously been presented to President La República and referred to it as “a balance of standards.” On this basis, it appears that the agreement under discussion is subject to the rule “The bear shall not die and the sheep shall not perish.”
