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It became clear that the step taken by former Prime Minister Saad Hariri to accept that the Finance Minister in Mustafa Adib’s government was a “Shiite” was at the request of France. This confirms the rush of the French Foreign Ministry to label Hariri’s initiative “brave”. There is no doubt that President Emmanuel Macron supported Saad Hariri’s move, given that forming a government, according to certain specifications, is the cornerstone of his Lebanese initiative. Furthermore, the success of this initiative has come to depend on the person of the French president.
It is clear, at least so far, that there is a desire on the part of the “Shiite duo” to avoid entering into a direct confrontation with France, which refuses, until further notice, to include “Hezbollah” on the terrorism list despite from all the American pressure and despite the fact that Germany did. .
The “Shiite duo”, which is largely controlled by “Hezbollah”, seeks to ensure that any finance minister in the Lebanese government is, from now on, a “Shiite”. They both want to impose a fait accompli and make it a rule and an integral part of the Lebanese government formation process. Instead of Lebanon gradually getting rid of the quota system based on sectarianism and sectarianism, the “Shiite duo” seeks to enshrine the quota system and enshrine sectarianism and sectarianism, after it was deemed to have laid its hand about the Shiite community.
Furthermore, “Hezbollah” believes that, thanks to its weapons and perseverance, it has managed to change the nature of the Shiite community, a large part of which still rejects the hegemony of the party, which is nothing more than a brigade in the Revolutionary Guard and hence in Iran. Hezbollah’s calculations, especially after its success in imposing the Christian President of the Republic on the Lebanese on October 31 – October 2016, are essentially based on changing the nature of the entire Lebanese society and changing the nature of the country’s positioning. regionally as a crime in the Iranian orbit, nothing more. .
There is more to accept from the “Shiite” finance minister at a time when Lebanon’s fate is at stake. This is simply due to the fact that forming a new government headed by Mustafa Adeeb will mean a lot. Above all, it will mean that there is a different type of government in Lebanon that does not include representatives of the parties that brought the country to where it is. It is true that it can be said that Saad Hariri made a great concession, and even retired in his positions, which is a setback that neither his Sunni community nor the allies accept, but it is also true that there is an emphasis on two matters. The first is that the one who chooses the Shiite Finance Minister is Saad Hariri himself, and this was explicitly expressed in the initiative presented by the former prime minister. Furthermore, Saad Hariri’s acceptance of the “Shiite” Finance Minister is linked to the fact that this applies only once. That is, there is no dedication to the custom that a certain ministry, such as the Ministry of Finance, has become the property of a particular sect.
Sooner or later, after Saad Hariri was able to throw the ball into the court of the “Shiite duo”, it will become clear whether there is an Iranian will to take and answer with France, or if the Iranian bet remains based on an idea.
In the end, the important thing is to form a government that includes only men with competencies other than those personalities that many of them imposed the “Shiite duo” in the past or the “Free Patriotic Movement” at all times. The formation of such a government is at the core of the initiative of Emmanuel Macron, who when he arrived in Beirut immediately after the port disaster on August 4 last, did not see that there is a new Lebanon, Lebanon “Hezbollah”. Macron took note of the scale of the disaster. In particular, he noted that Lebanon had collapsed and that what was needed was to save what could be saved, beginning with the formation of a radically different “major government” from the “Hezbollah government” that Hassan Diab formed during the “It was from Hezbollah.”
In short, Lebanon needs a new era, which is the era of the Mustafa Adib government, with well-known specifications. Much will depend on Iranian calculations. Ultimately, Hezbollah is nothing more than an Iranian tool. Is there Iranian interest in taking Macron into account? Does Macron have anything to pressure Iran … or is the “Islamic Republic” still holding on to its evidence? The Iranian gamble is well known. This bet is based on waiting for the US elections on November 3.
Iran believes that Joe Biden will be much better than Donald Trump and that his election as president will lead to a return from the honeymoon with the “Great Satan”, as it was during the Barack Obama era.
Sooner or later, after Saad Hariri was able to throw the ball into the court of the “Shiite duo”, it will become clear whether there is an Iranian will to take and answer with France, or that the Iranian bet is still based on an idea. . This idea is based on the fact that Lebanon is just an Iranian card and nothing else.
Lebanon, according to Iran, is nothing more than a letter no matter what happens to the Lebanese, and in a country whose existence has lost all its foundations. Lebanon is a country without electricity, Lebanon is a country where the banking system collapsed, Lebanon is a country where the service sector collapsed. The port of Beirut has been destroyed and with it part of the city. This is the tip of the iceberg of what happened in Lebanon, where the education system has become a part of the past. Lebanon was a hospital, a university, a hotel, and a bank. There is nothing left of Lebanon. There is not enough time left to play Iranian and non-Iranian games that will destroy all Lebanese sects, including Shiites, Sunnis, Christians, and Druze.