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Mounir Al-Rabee` wrote in Al-Modon: The French initiative received a second fatal blow. No one managed to save her. French efforts failed to re-establish Hariri as prime minister. Paris seemed to be the mother who did not know her children.
Lebanon Strong Decision“
The decision to postpone parliamentary consultations was a severe blow to the French, who, since Monday night, entered the communication lines to form a government. Misfortune united them to Saad Hariri. They need a rescuer for the initiative and he needs a paramedic to give him coverage to form the government. French contacts in various directions moved to assign Hariri. No one has convinced Michel Aoun of the movement, as long as Gebran Bassil continues to refuse. The decision of the powerful Lebanese bloc not to name Hariri was Aoun’s dividing line, because the issue presupposes two possibilities. The first is not to name anyone and, therefore, the absence of the charter, or to cast votes with the President of the Republic, and to repeat Rafik Hariri’s experience with Emile Lahoud in 1998, and therefore the shame of Saad Hariri and persistence in hitting Taif..
As long as Bassil disagreed with Hariri and Hezbollah’s efforts were unsuccessful, the consultations were postponed and things returned to the starting point. There is no road to Hariri al Serail except through Gebran Bassil. Politically, this means returning to the discussion about the formation of a government in the political or technopolitical form..
Also, the documentary reasons Aoun is armed with cannot be overlooked. He is the one who says that he is the strong president and that he cannot give up his powers. He will not accept being a “bash writer”, and that Saad Hariri is tasked with shaping the government during his reign by Walid Jumblatt, Nabih Berri and Hezbollah, while his role is sidelined and confined to signing. This will not happen, because it is a repetition (according to the Aounist view) of the “quartet alliance”.“.
“The Shiite couple “picked them up
The Shiite duo once again succeeded in playing the role of facilitator for the French initiative. The first time, he blamed former prime ministers for disabling it. The second time, he was trying to reconcile Aoun and Hariri, to appear committed to the initiative to the end. But Aoun, Bassil, and Hariri disagreed. The duo supported their position with what President Nabih Berri announced, refusing to postpone the consultations, in an extraordinarily clever step, outwards under the pretext of facilitating to the end, while the others were the ones who obstructed..
The dispute between Berri and Aoun is inseparable from the dispute over the demarcation of borders and the conformation of the delegation, for which there will be great repercussions and consequences. Here, the position of the US ambassador to Al-Modon after the launch of the French initiative cannot be ignored. He said at the time that the French initiative related only to France. Disputes over demarcation ensued. And it weighed heavily on political reality. The Americans took what they wanted and did not mind forming a government. Their lack of agreement, and perhaps their interference, led to the failure of the commissioning process. And there are those who say that in light of the threat of sanctions … and between the French and the Americans, Aoun will choose the Americans as the verdict..
This is confirmed after questioning the possibility that Gebran Bassil would change his position, if he entered into consultations with Hariri, so the leader of the Free Patriotic Movement would not have torpedoed all efforts, stating that his position will not change despite the postponement of the queries. This means cutting off the road to Hariri completely. This means that torpedoing the French initiative came about for reasons that go beyond all internal details, and overlook France and its efforts. We must look for external reasons, especially American ones.
Basil’s position is practically to push Hariri to retreat.
Consultations postponed for a new week. Many situations will change and take shape. As for Hariri meeting Bassil and they get along, then Hariri will be more exposed, or hold back, after reading all the local and foreign facts, and throw the obstruction ball at Aoun, so the era will be over. ..
What will come will be more dangerous and difficult, regardless of whether Hariri continues to nominate him and form the government or not.
