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Hadeel Farfour wrote in “Al Akhbar”:
While it is recognized that the population situation cannot be closed for a long time due to the economic crisis, the decision to close only came about because the healthcare sector has come to the brink of collapse, amid the continuing and terrifying number of wounded and dead. Therefore, it is not within the authority of the Home Secretary to make promises to exclude any sector from closure in light of an unprecedented health crisis.
According to estimates, out of every one million residents of Lebanon, more than 15,622 people become infected with the coronavirus and around 121 people die as a result of their infection with the virus. If the death rate among all residents is adopted, it is clear that the death rates recorded by Lebanon are higher than those recorded by a large number of countries, including those that precede it in total injuries. For example, the death rate in Japan, which is four places ahead of Lebanon in terms of the number of wounded (Japan is ranked 51st in the world with more than 118,000 injuries, while Lebanon is ranked 55th with more than 108,000 injured), 15 per million. As for Qatar, which ranks 45 (with more than 136,000 injured), the death rate is 84 per million.
Reports from the National Operations Hall and figures from the Ministry of Health indicate that the death rate in Lebanon is 0.77% of all injuries, while this percentage in the world is 2.41%, which is which has led many to consider these facts as “evidence of well-being” and take advantage of them to reassure residents, pointing out that the comparison is adopted. The same shows that the cure rate in Lebanon is 57.6%, compared to 69.56% globally. How are these proportions read? What is the real assessment of the mortality rates “that will rise in the coming days”, according to more than one official involved in this file?
A member of the National Committee for Infectious Diseases, Abd al-Rahman al-Bizri explained to Al-Akhbar that there are two death rates, one of which is related to the percentage of deaths compared to the number of injured and is “consistent with the world trend and tends to low rates “, while the second compares the mortality rate with the number of residents” and tends to High rates ».
Al-Bizri pointed out that recent graphs of the figures show a notable increase in mortality rates every 14 days, “and this is mainly due to the increase in the number of wounded,” indicating that the deaths occurred at “diverse and different ages. “.
On the other hand, the recovery counter continues to be slow, according to specialists who emphasized that the rapid spread of the virus and the large increase in infections would keep the total number of infections high.
According to figures from the Ministry of Public Health, there were around 982 recoveries during the last 24 hours, and 1,507 new injuries (11 of them imported) from more than 14,470 examinations and 12 deaths (total deaths 839) were registered.
Meanwhile, it is assumed that from tomorrow the results of the total closure will begin to appear, as previously announced by the Minister of Health, Hamad Hassan, while fears of the “wobble” of the strict measures promised by the Interior Ministry are reinforced, with calls from owners of a range of interests for their employees to do their work “in secret.” “Today. Therefore, if measures are not taken to stop this” rebellion “, this behavior will spread to the rest of the sectors, which will formally transform the closure, as previously announced by the local closures, noting that two days ago they arose indicators of the rebellion, with the record of collective violations of curfew measures.
However, the statement of the Minister of the Interior and Municipalities, Mohamed Fahmy, yesterday, after his visit to the Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai, suggests that those interested do not need to resume their work “in secret”, with their “donation” for reconsider the general closing on Friday, and a decision to reopen some interests.
The irony is that Fahmi said, “Let’s look at the number of injuries,” linking the closure review with the decrease in injuries, which is a difficult comparison to understand. What impact will the full four-day shutdown have in countries where the number of actual victims reaches the 45,000 threshold? Does the Ministry of the Interior have the power to make the decision to reconsider the closure and exclusivity in a critical health issue? Noting that an implicit agreement had been reached between the different ministries concerned, according to which the competent ministers committed themselves not to grant exceptions due to the sensitivity of the situation. So is Fahmy’s statement a “hit” due to pressure from traders? What about the interests of low and middle income people who were forced to stay at home without receiving any support to avoid death from the virus? Certainly, decision makers are only required to develop a comprehensive plan that satisfies everyone, and to stop taking partial and exceptional measures.
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