[ad_1]
The country will enter the “danger zone” later this year. The stampede is most intense on the way to a settlement or an explosion. Here in Beirut, there are those who see an internal trend towards calm, especially with the region entering the orbit of reducing tension. Yemen, an unannounced truce in Marib, preceded by the largest prisoner exchange process between the two parties in conflict since the beginning of the conflict, including the arrival of the new Iranian ambassador, Hassan Erlo, in Sanaa. Iraq, conditional truce in attacks against US forces. Syria, the Turkish withdrawal from the military points of Hama and the visit of a US official with the aim of reaching an “agreement” for the release of American journalist Austin Tice. This is being achieved, while Lebanon announced the start of indirect negotiations with the Israeli enemy on the demarcation of the maritime borders. On the Lebanese calendar, the coming weeks and months will face tough challenges, starting with the American elections, passing through others in Syria, and ending with the Arab-Israeli normalization train. All of them raise questions, notably the question of the fate of the government that Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri is supposed to form, as well as its reform program, its negotiations with the International Monetary Fund and its dealings with the changes in the region and the world. While it is not possible to say with certainty to what extent his birth was linked to the bound path, it will certainly be a useful factor, even if it is not fixed. In the midst of this weather, news is coming in of an Israeli attack in southern Syria, and a drone launched by the Houthis towards Saudi Arabia, and the United States of America continues to use the weapon of sanctions, the last of which was against the Iranian ambassador to Iraq.
It has been shown so far that there was no government in Lebanon before the US elections. However, a series of signals that followed Hariri’s assignment suggest that the political battle between him and the President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, and the head of the “Strong Lebanon” bloc, the parliamentarian Gebran Bassil, will sharpen in the composition stage, contrary to what the period prior to commissioning suggested. As soon as the Hariri decree was issued until the limit of the fight decreased. Initially, the Speaker of the Parliament, Nabih Berri, confirmed that the atmosphere was optimistic regarding the formation of the government. Then Bassil surprised everyone with his participation in the parliamentary consultations and his meeting with Hariri, noting that he announced at the last meeting of the bloc that he would not do so. Even the statements made by the parties, it seems that the game of counterclaims and conditions can be modified in its rules. Does this have something to do with what is happening in the region? Or is it related to considerations of subjective political forces?
It is not possible to overlook a basic internal factor that combines these forces that push them to round the corners in terms of composition. First, the financial, economic, living and security conditions of the country no longer tolerate the absence of an effective government. In addition to the French initiative, which, it is true, provides “palliative agents” that eliminate the risk of a total collapse, and may be the only way to rescue. But the appearance of a sudden desire to facilitate the birth of the government is also related to the accounts with each party, which would push it to remove obstacles and confront the other, can be summarized as follows:
Read the full article Press here.
Source: News
