The opportunity for international contradictions to intensify

Just as colonial policies have always been based on the principle of “divide and conquer” to reinforce their control over many countries and peoples in the south of the world, exploiting their internal contradictions, whatever their nature, for their benefit, the movements of National liberation and independent states that succeeded in achieving their goals have made good use of conflicts between the powers. Great, especially in its borrowed stages. The Second World War, and the horrors that accompanied it in the countries of the European Center, and the great weakening of the latter, represented a historic opportunity for the peoples of the so-called “colonies and quasi-colonies” in the prevailing political language at that time of intensify their struggle for the liberation of the control systems imposed by them. countries. It was no coincidence that China and India became two independent countries within a few years of this war, and that the battles for national independence in Vietnam, Algeria, and the rest of the south raged during that same period. The same applies to the Cold War that began in the late 1940s between the United States and its capitalist camp and between the Soviet Union and its socialist bloc, which allowed countries and parties opposed to American hegemony to employ international division. against your main enemy. The containment strategy that was adopted against the Soviet Union, of which Europe was one of the main scenarios in the face of the direct US military presence on its soil, contributed to pushing the former to head towards the countries of the South to break the resulting blockade. of this containment and strengthen their relationships and alliances with it. US President-elect Joe Biden and his team have now sought to restore cohesion in the Western camp vis-a-vis non-Western powers, especially China and Russia, deepening the international divide and turning the world south once again into the central battlefield between the major “competing” powers, and can provide real opportunities for their states and peoples to defend their vital national interests and sovereignty and independence.

The “Third World” is the scene of confrontation
It is striking that Hall Brand borrows from the concept of “Third World”, elaborated by the French demographer, anthropologist and historian of the French economy Alfred Sofie, in the early days of the Cold War (1952), to refer to the countries of the South, despite the abandonment of Western and non-Western academics, due to great transformations. The world witnessed after the collapse of the Soviet Union and its socialist bloc, and the profound economic, social and political changes that took place in many of the aforementioned countries. The borrowing of this concept indicates the deepening of the Cold War mentality and the vision of the South as an allowable space, among a wide sector of the American elites, of which Hal Brand is one of its representatives. A professor who won the “Henry Kissinger Seat” at John Hopkins University’s “Institute for Advanced International Studies” in an article titled “China and America’s Clash in the Third World” on the Bloomberg website, believed that the latter would return to the battlefield as it was during the Cold War, but between these two forces in the current era. While this speech completely ignores the aspirations and interests of local parties that allied or intersected with the Soviet Union against the United States, and perhaps do the same with China and / or Russia now, and classify them as mere proxy powers, the important thing is to confirm that the central scene of the international conflict is this. Part of the globe before others.
Brand says that “the peripheries (that is, the southern countries to distinguish them from the western center) have become the heart of the competition between the United States and China, because the state of the democratic center (that is, the West) is no longer as fragile as it was for a short period of time. ” Until late 2019 and early 2020, the combination of Chinese economic might and the self-destructive behavior of Trump’s America carved a deep rift in the Western world. It seemed possible that a significant part of Europe could choose to be neutral between the United States and China, and even fall into the trap of technological dependence on Beijing. This danger has not completely disappeared, but it has become less severe. “He rejoices that European countries classify China as a” systemic opponent “and that some of them do not cooperate with Huawei in the field of its sensitive digital infrastructure. , and believes that in the late Trump era, we are witnessing the formation of a “democratic coalition to resist Chinese influence.” However, the “Achilles Heel” of the United States, or “the loophole through the which Chinese influence infiltrates “, as Brand says, they are” Third World “countries that cannot” resist the temptation of Chinese loans and low-cost digital infrastructure … The objective of the Road and Belt project is … Weaving economic, diplomatic, technological and possibly military ties between China and most developing countries. From Beijing’s perspective, expanding its sphere of influence in the south of the world is a decisive step towards reaching the strategic equation with the United States. The truth is that China, like the Soviet Union some time ago, formulated the “Belt and Road” project in response to the containment and encirclement strategy adopted by the United States since the Obama administration, under the slogan “Returning to Asia” in 2012 Unifying the western side against them is no longer enough, and what is required is to block their ports to the south. This is achieved by formulating a unified strategy for the western camp vis-à-vis the latter’s states based on the military superiority that guarantees its success.

The wars of “injustice”
How can the United States stop the rise of international powers that possess huge military and nuclear arsenals and are working hard to develop them, quantitatively and qualitatively? What the Pentagon reports and their hypothetical scenarios reveal is that he is preparing for the possibility of a direct confrontation with him, during which he may resort to tactical nuclear weapons and ammunition. Michael Claire, one of the foremost experts critical of US military strategy, noted, in an article titled “Trump’s Malicious Military Legacy” on the Tom Dispatch website, that “Pentagon strategists have imagined that any conflict with China and Russia will likely witness fierce battles on land, sea and in the air. To destroy vital enemy military structures in the first hours or in the first few days at worst, to pave the way for an easy US invasion of their territory … A review of the available Russian military literature has led Western military analysts to conclude that the Russians are increasing their dependence on tactical nuclear weapons to counter any American attack: Atlantic on their lands. ”To face such possibility, according to the nuclear document issued by the “Pentagon” in 2018, “the American president must possess a set of limited and proportionate nuclear options, and delivery systems with multiple explosive capabilities. ” The document recommended the production of two new types of nuclear munitions: a nuclear warhead with a low destructive capacity for ballistic missiles launched from submarines and others with nuclear warheads launched from battleships. The production of these weapons has already started.
Uniting the western camp against China and Russia, putting a price on an arms race and seeking to limit its influence in the countries of the South, are the three pillars of a declared strategy of the United States that will exacerbate international conflicts, especially in those countries. Despite the difficulties derived from such an international context, it can open very positive windows of opportunity for the peoples of the South, as happened in similar international contexts during the 20th century.

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