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Lebanon is in a state of stagnation after Lebanese President Michel Aoun announced the postponement of binding parliamentary consultations to appoint a prime minister to form the new government in the country for a week, after what was scheduled for Thursday. .
The Presidency of the Republic justified its decision that it came “at the request of some parliamentary blocs due to the emergence of difficulties that require work to resolve them.”
Before that, former Prime Minister Saad Hariri had initiated his candidacy to form the government, and the Future Parliamentary Bloc – which he heads – held a series of meetings with various parliamentary blocs to facilitate his mission in the context of opening the way to the French initiative.
Hariri took the initiative to run to form a government (Anatolia)Parking map
In the last hours preceding the postponement of the consultations, contacts between the Lebanese forces intensified and the position map of Hariri’s initiative appeared as follows: The Free Patriotic Movement and the Lebanese Forces Party, both Lebanon’s largest Christian blocs, refused to name Hariri in presidential palace consultations.
In addition to the “Future” bloc, the head of the “Marada” movement, Suleiman Franjieh, and the “Independent Center” and “Tashnak” expressed their willingness to appoint Hariri. The Media Commission of the Progressive Socialist Party headed by Walid Jumblatt also announced that the latter had received a positive call from Hariri to amend his position on his appointment.
Jumblatt also received, according to the statement, a call from “Patrick Dorrell, advisor to French President Emmanuel Macron, with the aim of making the French initiative a success and implementing the reforms it contained.”
While the statement by the office of the Speaker of Parliament, Nabih Berri, opposed any postponement of the consultations, the “Development and Liberation” bloc he headed was aimed at appointing Hariri, and his ally Hezbollah did not issue any official position to the respect.
Bassil criticized Hariri’s efforts to form a government (Reuters)Basil’s accusations
Immediately after announcing the postponement of the consultations, some analyzes considered that President Aoun’s decision coincided with the position of the head of the Free Patriotic Movement, Gebran Bassil, who rejected Hariri’s nomination, mainly because Bassil had launched an attack on the former Prime Minister, considering that he would not accept a government of non-partisan specialists (technocrats).
However, these accusations were denied by sources close to the Presidential Palace, placing Aoun’s decision within the framework of giving an additional opportunity to save the French initiative, and creating an environment that would later facilitate the drafting process after the assignment of a first Minister.
In the context, Mustafa Alloush, a member of the political bureau of the Future Movement, accuses the leader Basil of being behind the postponement of the consultations. In a statement to Al-Jazeera Net, he considers that Aoun’s decision has nothing to do with the interest of the country, and that the only influence on him is Bassil, describing him as “the shadow president who does not accept the formation of A government headed by Hariri without his participation. “
Alloush denied that Hariri was directly motivated by France to form the government, but that “his initiative stems from his sense of responsibility to seize the only opportunity to save the French initiative, otherwise the fall will be inevitable,” he said.
Adeeb apologized for going ahead with the formation of a government (Reuters)Government and obstacles
Aoun had assigned Mustafa Adib to form the “mission” government requested by French President Emmanuel Macron, before he apologized on September 26 for not pursuing the matter due to differences in political forces that stumbled upon the formation of the government. Thus, says Alloush, “Lebanon has demonstrated its failure by appointing an independent president to form a government of specialists.”
For his part, Jimmy Jabbour, member of the political bureau of the Free Patriotic Movement, rejects all the accusations made against Bassil, and considers that postponing the consultations is not a sin but a constitutional decision, and “it happened several times at the request of Hariri when he was entrusted with the formation of previous governments. “
Jabbour said in a statement to Al-Jazeera Net that the situation in Lebanon requires the formation of a government as soon as possible, but it must be on firm foundations, emphasizing that Bassil did not ask Aoun to postpone the consultations. Rather, Aoun’s decision came as a result of consultations with some parliamentary blocs.
Bassil tweeted immediately after the consultations were postponed, saying: “Regarding the president’s decision to postpone the consultations, this matter will not change our position.”
Therefore, Jabbour believes that Bassil emphasized through his position that he would not wait for Hariri to contact him to represent him in government, stating that the Free Patriotic Movement demand is the “unity of criteria” in the formation of the government. , that is, a technocratic government headed by a technocratic figure, or a political government headed by Politico.
Postponement and reasons
At this time, observers considered that the postponement of the consultations occurred as a consequence of the disagreement of the two balanced Christian blocs – the forces and the Free Patriotic Movement – over the nomination of Hariri, which signifies a lack of confidence in the government. incoming.
However, the deputy of the Bloc of Lebanese Forces, Joseph Ishaq, confirms in a statement to Al-Jazeera Net that the refusal to appoint Hariri is a position of principle derived from the conviction of the forces of the need to adhere to the provisions of the French initiative. He denied that the forces contribute to hindering the formation of the government.
Ishaq accuses what he describes as the tripartite alliance (Hezbollah, Amal Movement and Free Patriotic Movement) of leading the country to perdition, and “as if the October 17 uprising had not taken place against them and the port of Beirut did not It will explode at a time when the trio is still looking for ways to divide the country, ”as he put it. .
Ishaq believes that Hariri entered the tripartite alliance game, while “the forces are convinced that there is no solution in a political government headed by a politician.”
For his part, the writer and political analyst Faisal Abdul Sater reveals his data that Hezbollah facilitated the postponement of the consultations, “to avoid the creation of convulsive climates in the country if Hariri is assigned without the approval of the different forces, led for the Free Patriotic Movement “.
Abdel Sater told Al-Jazeera Net that Aoun’s stance was not malicious because “even naming specialists must be based on a political consensus.”
Fate and attempts
On the fate of forming a government, Mustafa Alloush believes that Basil’s attempts will fail against the mission of Hariri, who will not withdraw his candidacy to form a government.
On the other hand, Abdel Sater considers that the date of the parliamentary consultations next Thursday will be decisive in Lebanon, if there is no foreign interference, the government file is postponed until after the US elections.
For his part, Jimmy Jabbour believes that the constitutional vacuum will not last long, but “forming a government requires the availability of standards that Basil’s team will not renounce.”
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