The fourth Israeli elections: neither general nor left



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Polls show that the Sa’ar party enjoys strong support (Jacques Cause / France Press)

The Israeli Knesset was automatically dissolved at midnight last Tuesday, after the government, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, failed to reach an agreement, albeit a temporary one, with its partner in government, General Benny Gantz (only seven months after the formation of the fifth Netanyahu government, which was declared an emergency government (National to confront the Crown), extend the approval period for the state budget and avoid elections on March 23.
And it has been made official that Israel is heading to elections, the fourth of its kind, since the elections that took place on April 9, 2019, after which Netanyahu was unable to form a government and preferred to dissolve the Knesset rather than give it to his opponent Gantz the opportunity to form a government. Israel went to the second elections on September 17, but its results also maintained a state of inability to form a coalition government, either led by Netanyahu or Gantz, for Israel to repeat for the third time last March, without a clear decision. between Netanyahu’s camp and his opponents. . Had it not been for the Joint List’s support of the Arab parties, and its recommendation to Israeli President Reuven Rivlin, that Gantz be tasked with forming a new government, the government would not have been formed, and it was the one whose term ended. officially at midnight on Tuesday.

Netanyahu’s politics increased tension in Gantz’s party

Gantz took advantage of the fact that he obtained a mandate to form a new and alternative government for Netanyahu, to move in the opposite direction to his electoral promises, and to withdraw from Kahol Laffan’s alliance with the Yesh Atid and Telem parties, to build an alliance with Netanyahu. , under the pretext of facing the Corona pandemic and preventing collapse. The Israeli economy, mainly due to its refusal, due to racist positions, to form an alternative government that depends on external support from the Joint List of Arab Parties.

The most prominent of these was early on, Netanyahu refused to pass a two-year budget, which would guarantee the government’s survival until November 2021, when the prime minister’s rotation clause between Netanyahu and Gantz would be implemented. This matter has consistently raised concerns among “Kahol Laffan,” led by Gantz, about Netanyahu’s unwillingness to commit to the implementation of the coalition agreement, and has formed fertile ground for successive crises, accompanied by intentional ridicule and contempt for Netanyahu’s part from his top partner in government, General Gantz, and his uniqueness in decision-making. Either in the management of the Corona crisis or in the implementation of an economic policy to face the potential repercussions of the pandemic. This derisive approach was reflected in hiding his political and diplomatic maneuvers from Gantz and Chancellor General Gabi Ashkenazi, in everything related to the normalization agreements with the Arab countries, starting with the agreement with the UAE and Bahrain and ending with the agreement with Morocco. .

This Netanyahu policy also increased internal tension and turmoil in Gantz’s party. And it erupted last Monday night when three members of Gantz’s party voted against a law to extend the deadline to approve the state budget until December 23, which completely eliminated the possibilities of extending the life of the government, to Despite the tendency of Netanyahu and Gantz to postpone the elections, due to the repercussions it brought. Gideon Sa’ar defected from the Likud and formed a new party (New Hope – Unity for Israel), to stand in the elections as a candidate for prime minister against Netanyahu.

The electoral battle will be about the referee within the ranks of the right.

Polls showed, directly, that the new party enjoys strong support, up to 20 seats, and is nibbling the popularity and remaining seats of the “Kahol Laffan” party led by Generals Gantz and Ashkenazi, and the strength of his party diminished. to five seats in two weeks just after Sa’ar’s announcement. It also showed a shift in the party’s map in Israel, threatening for the first time in months to block the way for Netanyahu to return to power and to create a right-wing governing coalition that relies primarily on the existing right-wing parties, along with the new party, without even the need for a recommendation from the Joint List of Arab Parties, and there is no room for Netanyahu to accuse the new star, Gideon Sa’ar, of taking left positions, unlike the situation in the last three battles, in which Gantz led the anti-Netanyahu camp.

Sa’ar moved to shuffle the cards on the party map in Israel. He brazenly asserted, without frills, that the next electoral battle in Israel will be the rule within the ranks of the Israeli right, with no fundamental differences between the two sides, on security, political and economic issues. Rather, the anti-Netanyahu camp, under Sa’ar’s leadership, is showing a further tightening of support for the settlements, rejecting the two-state solution and enforcing and enforcing Israeli sovereignty over the Jordan Valley and the settlements in Occupied West Bank, whether they are inside or outside the settlement blocs.

Israel is contesting its fourth election amid continued repercussions from Corona, the failure of the government led by Netanyahu and Gantz to confront the pandemic on the one hand, and at the height of an economic crisis that is reflected in the presence of more than 850,000 Israelis. outside the work circle, with a significant drop in the economic movement and debt and the government’s financial deficit close to 20 billion. Shekel (shekel equals $ 0.3). However, he is running for his fourth elections in less than two years, amid notable features also at the political level, which are summarized in the collapse and total disappearance of the Israeli left, and the recent polls obtaining only 5 or 6 seats for Meretz of the 120 seats in the Israeli Knesset, and gaining the right declared Kimin. With 82-83 seats, an additional 14-16 seats will be added to the “Yesh Atid” party, which describes itself as a center party, despite its right-wing positions. If the recently released polls are correct, then with the exception of Meretz and the Joint List of Arab Parties, which will win 11 seats, the upcoming elections can be said to indicate an Israeli parliament in which there are no more than 16 MPs from the left.

On the other hand, the collapse of “Kahol Laffan”, with rumors about the possibility that its leaders will withdraw from the party, and the party does not appear or does not even appear in the elections, and win 5 seats, perhaps a little moreover, it may constitute a turning point in another dimension of Israeli politics, which is the lack of the next elections for a general to occupy a central place at the head of a major party. Especially in light of what is being said about former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot’s hesitation and confusion in entering the political arena in second place in the Sa’ar party. Consequently, a traditional course of Israeli politics can be stopped, considering that the political arena is the natural path that complements the military career of the army chiefs of staff in leading the parties.



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