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On Sunday, the Israeli army launched “Deadly Arrow” maneuvers that “simulate a multi-front war with a focus on the northern front,” according to Israeli army spokesman Avichai Adraei.
Adraei identified “Lebanon and Syria” as a target for the maneuver that seeks to “raise the level of readiness” of the “regular and reserve forces, air, maritime and land weapons, the intelligence agency, technological agencies, communications and protection in the cybernetic field “.
Today started an exercise#Arrow_KillerWhich simulates a war on multiple fronts with a focus on the northern front (Lebanon and Syria), with the aim of increasing the preparation and improving the IDF’s offensive capabilities at all levels, in an integrated manner and adopting a working method, to achieve victory with new mechanisms among the main headquarters.
– افيخاي ادرعی (@AvichayAdraee) October 25, 2020
Lebanese specialists and analysts said the “timing of the maneuver” carries “political messages for Hezbollah and those who operate it.”
Lebanese writer and political researcher Luqman Salim told Al-Hurra that “the implementation of the killing arrow maneuvers is a political message to those behind Hezbollah among its Iranian operators.”
Salim believes that the maneuvers are a “practical warning message” that tells “Hezbollah and those behind Hezbollah” to prevent them from carrying out any military action “to save face or contain doubts and questions from their followers.”
Salim asked: “(in this case) does Hezbollah still have a military value after everything that is happening in the region, either in terms of normalization with Israel or the collapse of the Lebanese situation, or in terms of the possible response Israeli to any action I take? “
The writer hoped that “Hezbollah will use the mole policy (wait in safety) to bite its wounds while waiting for better conditions that will allow it to rebuild its image without putting pressure on Israel” for a great response.
Other analysts noted that the timing of the demonstrations, during the negotiations between Lebanon and Israel to demarcate the borders, reflects that “Hezbollah is in a critical situation,” says Lebanese journalist Ali Al-Amin.
Al-Amin added to Al-Hurra’s website that “the negotiation option reflects an Iranian withdrawal in the first place,” and emphasized that “the negotiation option came at a time of weakness or a tactical or strategic withdrawal from Iran.”
According to Al-Amin, the “chances of war” are not great, although fears of military action persist.
But El-Amin added, “Israel now gets what it wants without war, and suggests that it has multiple means to attack Hezbollah, especially the mysterious bombings taking place in Lebanon and Iran.”
Al-Amin believes that “Hezbollah’s confrontation will mean that it has lost all other options, it has lost its strength and its role, and its war will be a desperate war, and this is an Iranian decision, not a Lebanese one.”
Lebanese activist and journalist Charbel Odeh believes that Israel is now “at its best” diplomatically, militarily and politically, and that any war with it “will not be the same as its predecessors.”
Odeh refers to the normalization agreements concluded by the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan, which he said are a “great boost for Israel and Netanyahu” in the region, and a great progress for Israel at a time when Iran is withdrawing. “to a state that sponsors gangs and undermines legitimacy and stability in the region.”
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