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Another landmark US-sponsored Bahrain-Israel peace agreement was announced by US President Donald Trump on Friday, just weeks after the announcement of the “Ibrahim” peace agreement between the United Arab Emirates and Israel. August 13.
Some described the agreement as a starting point to achieve stability and end the protracted conflict in the Middle East. US peace envoy to the Middle East Brian Hook commented: “I think historians will see the peace accord as the beginning of the end of the Arab-Israeli conflict.”
Researchers and analysts held the same optimistic view, with some reservations. Among them was the American political researcher of the Center for Political Studies “New America Foundation”, Jeremy Hodge, who said that “the recent agreements will go a long way towards normalizing the idea that the Arab countries establish open relations with Israel during the next five to ten years. “
In his interview with Al-Hurra, Jeremy indicated that the agreement will also affect Egypt and Jordan, making relations between them and Israel, with which they signed a peace agreement long ago, more public, despite the fact that the two Arab countries continue to spread local propaganda about an existential conflict with Israel, contrary to reality. ”
Jeremy believes that the recent agreements will make peace with Israel a “natural matter” for other countries, as other countries that have had secret relations with Israel for a long time are expected to follow the same path “such as Saudi Arabia, Morocco and Bahrain. , along with some political entities in countries like Sudan. ” And Libya, not to mention Kurdish factions throughout the region. “
However, Jeremy noted that despite the general opinion that the Arab-Israeli conflict is coming to an end, this does not mean that public hostility towards Israel throughout the region will diminish.
Only Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Eddie Cohen, an Israeli political analyst, is going in the same direction, who pointed out to Al-Hurra that “there is no Arab-Israeli conflict, but there is Palestinian-Israeli conflict, there is no hostility between Israel and the Gulf countries.”
Cohen said: “At the popular level, the matter is different. The state of popular hostility in some countries, such as Egypt, Jordan and Palestine, still exists, but the Middle East is not the same.”
Cohen noted that this can be clearly discerned and noticed on Twitter, as most of the hostile tweets come from the countries mentioned above, but on the other hand, Arab peoples, such as Gulf peoples, want to visit Israel normally.
Cohen hoped that the Arab countries would soon follow the same example as the Emirates and Bahrain, such as Morocco, the Sultanate of Oman, and Kuwait. Cohen stressed that Kuwait will conclude a peace agreement with Israel sooner or later, although Kuwaiti officials said that “Kuwait will be the last to be printed.” This is not a rejection, but a “postponement”.
Between the United States, Israel and the United Arab Emirates … the “element” that made the “collective victory”
Al-Kaabi described the relations between the Emirates and the United States as of a high degree of importance, and it is important at all levels and the stability and prosperity of the Palestinian and Israeli states.
While the Gulf states have praised and celebrated the recent peace accords with Israel, Kuwait was silent on the accord, while internal voices and parliamentarians denounced the accords.
There are still other countries in the Gulf Cooperation Council that have not established full relations with Israel, such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait and Oman, considering that Doha and Muscat had previously allowed Israel to open representative offices on their lands during years.
“Subject to conditions”
On the other hand, Ahmed El-Baz, director of the Early Warning Center for Political Studies, believes that “it cannot be completely affirmed that the signing of peace agreements with Israel marks the beginning of the end of the Arab-Israeli conflict, if Israel does not provides nothing in return. ”
Al-Baz added, “Israel will have to recognize East Jerusalem as the capital of Palestine, and it will have to stop the process of annexation of the West Bank now and in the future, and it will have to start a roadmap for the recognition of a Palestinian state. independent, all of which have been included, in one way or another, in recent agreements or by state leaders. ” That signed a peace agreement with Israel, “according to what he told the Al-Hurra website.”
Al-Baz believes that if these steps and demands are not achieved, “these agreements will not leave their place, in terms of bilateral economic and technical partnership agreements. To keep the conflict in place, and what may differ in this case alone is to move the definition of the conflict from an Arab-Israeli conflict to an Arab-Israeli conflict. ” Palestinian-Israeli conflict “.
“The problem is not with the Arabs”
While at least analysts have agreed that the Arab-Israeli conflict will diminish or end with recent and future peace accords, Jeremy indicated that the conflict between Israel, on the one hand, and the “two most powerful non-Arab states” of the region will continue to exist.
In his interview with Al-Hurra, the American researcher said: “The two most powerful non-Arab countries in the region, namely Turkey and Iran, have increasingly converged in recent years, as they achieved, more than ever, establish its presence in failed states throughout the Middle East. “
“Each of these countries and their militias in Iraq, Syria, western Libya and northern Yemen are in an open state of war with Israel, and will remain so for the foreseeable future,” Jeremy added to Al-Hurra.
“The Turkish and Iranian influence is likely to remain in force for decades to come, creating a host of new challenges,” Jeremy concluded.
The leaders of the countries that signed the peace accords with Israel have stated that their goal is to improve the security of the region and confront the common enemy, which is Iran.
