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In 2018, Saudi Arabia was unsuccessful in its effort to end former Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s political career, because it failed to take into account the intransigence of President Michel Aoun and the support of Hezbollah and Lebanese forces for the active movement. That arose and caused the world to intervene to separate the families of the then Prime Minister of Lebanon. From then on, there was no secret that the relationship between the head of the Future Movement and Riyadh witnessed an open tension that represented the shortage of visits made by Hariri to Saudi Arabia, and the great Saudi support they previously attended in every occasion when Hariri was in Danger, not to mention the constantly increasing influence of personalities in the Sunni community, which has weakened the former prime minister’s position in his environment, as has the work on financial and economic restrictions on him, which made his situation more critical.
Today, the leader of the Future Movement is again in a critical situation, but this time in a dangerous way because the battle has become very critical and can be fatal after another member of the Hariri family entered the line, which is Bahaa . The latter’s name was first mentioned immediately after the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri in 2005, and he was just around the corner from inheriting the political site before a firm Saudi intervention at the last minute that took him out of the scene and pushed Saad to the front. Saudi fingerprints changed in 2018 after “forcing” Saad to give up Riyadh, and the name of Bahaa strongly echoed being the satisfactory alternative for him, but the wind did not flow as Saudi ships wished at the time. , due to many considerations and reasons including what is regional and international, including what is local. Then, all the interests gathered at that time to confront Baha and smile for Saad’s return to the Lebanese territories and his stay in the Great Serail. In the previous two seasons, Saad relied on external transformations to consolidate himself, establish his leadership, and establish his official position, but today is not like yesterday, and there are many reasons that lead him to feel a real danger for his political future. There is no doubt that the timing of Baha’s policy speech this time has another impact. The general rally around Saad is no longer present, international support has naturally diminished, and the loss of the free prime minister through his resignation was not without its catastrophic consequences and repercussions for him.
Furthermore, Bahaa is in these difficult circumstances, and enjoys strong support from Saudi Arabia and many Western countries, knowing that her financial situation is much better than that of her brother, who suffers from known financial difficulties, and Bahaa apparently started During a previous period, preparing himself by going locally to his place of return, he weaves an important communication network with more than one sect and denomination that can assure him the level required to give him the local recital necessary to set his feet in the political field. Today, Bahaa may be Saad’s deadliest weapon, but Saad still bets on the advantage that gives him preference, which is his political flexibility, which is more than basic on the Lebanese scene. And if what is said about Bahaa is true in terms of its rigid nature of engagement, this matter will inevitably affect his political discourse, and will make other Lebanese parties extremely cautious in dealing with him or even seeking his cooperation, and if this advantage is loses, it is likely that Bahaa has preferred to sacrifice himself At the beginning of his political reception, Saad will be more than happy with this because he will eliminate the burden of his brother once and for all.
It is the greatest confrontation, so who will write the victory?
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